Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Denver Broncos v Jacksonville Jaguars

Início: 2026-09-20 20:05 UTC

Final: Denver Broncos 20–13 Jacksonville Jaguars

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Denver Broncos (Local)

Previsão 56.72%1.76odd justa
EV -2.44%
Vantagem -1.42%
Kelly -3.39%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.38%56.72%56.67%57.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.491.681.681.7267.11%59.62%59.52%58.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jacksonville Jaguars (Visitante)

Previsão 43.28%2.31odd justa
EV +0.411%
Vantagem +0.177%
Kelly +0.311%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.07%43.28%43.33%45.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.042.202.202.3249.02%45.46%45.45%43.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Denver Broncos (Local): 56.72%; Jacksonville Jaguars (Visitante): 43.28%. Para Jacksonville Jaguars (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.31. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.32, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.411%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV +0.411%E +0.177%K +0.311%G +0.001%1.9%2026-09-20 20:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.71%E -2.80%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -0.455%E -0.198%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-19 20:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.71%E -2.80%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -0.455%E -0.198%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-19 20:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.71%E -2.80%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -0.455%E -0.198%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-19 20:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.71%E -2.80%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -0.455%E -0.198%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-19 20:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.28%E -3.16%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.455%E -0.198%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-20 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -5.28%E -3.16%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -1.32%E -0.579%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-19 20:04
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.01%E -1.76%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.19%E -0.967%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-20 19:54
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.62%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-20 19:59
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.62%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-20 20:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.62%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-20 20:03
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.62%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-20 20:04
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.62%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-20 17:27
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.85%E -3.52%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.62%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 20:04
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.85%E -3.52%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.62%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 20:04
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.85%E -3.52%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.62%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 20:04
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.85%E -3.52%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.62%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 20:04
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.71%E -2.80%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.05%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 12:29
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.48%E -1.56%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 19:37
MyBookie.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.48%E -1.56%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 19:38
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.01%E -1.76%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 19:34
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.01%E -1.76%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 19:34
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.01%E -1.76%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 19:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 19:34
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 20:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 16:29
betfred_uk🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-20 19:44
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-20 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.71%E -2.80%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 19:24
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.71%E -2.80%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 19:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.28%E -3.16%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 19:34
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.28%E -3.16%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 19:39
TAB🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.28%E -3.16%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 19:29
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.41%E -3.89%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 20:04
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.71%E -2.80%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.65%E -2.59%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 20:04
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.71%E -2.80%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.65%E -2.59%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 20:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.85%E -3.52%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.65%E -2.59%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 19:39
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.08%E -2.80%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 20:03
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.01%E -1.76%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 20:04
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.01%E -1.76%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 20:04
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 20:04
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 19:34
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 19:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 19:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 19:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.28%E -3.16%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 19:49
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.41%E -3.89%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 20:04
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.41%E -3.89%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 20:03
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.41%E -3.89%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 20:03
NetBet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.11%E -5.01%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-20 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.68%E -5.39%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 20:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -7.81%E -3.67%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 20:04
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.28%E -3.16%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.11%E -4.34%K -8.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 20:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.11%E -5.01%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.11%E -4.34%K -8.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 19:38
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.44%E -1.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -11.27%E -5.50%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 57.79%EV -15.49%E -10.39%K -31.61%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 42.21%EV -11.71%E -5.74%K -11.26%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-19 20:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-09-20 20:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-09-20 20:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-09-20 20:04
ProphetX◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-09-20 20:04
Smarkets◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-09-20 20:04
Matchbook◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-09-20 20:04
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-20 17:09
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-20 17:14
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-20 19:42
BetOpenly◎1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%2.9%2026-09-20 19:59