Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Denver Broncos v Jacksonville Jaguars

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 20:05 UTC

Score final : Denver Broncos 20–13 Jacksonville Jaguars

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Denver Broncos (Local)

Prévision 56.72%1.76cote équitable
EV -2.44%
Avantage -1.42%
Kelly -3.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.38%56.72%56.67%57.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.491.681.681.7267.11%59.62%59.52%58.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Jacksonville Jaguars (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.28%2.31cote équitable
EV +0.411%
Avantage +0.177%
Kelly +0.311%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.07%43.28%43.33%45.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.042.202.202.3249.02%45.46%45.45%43.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Denver Broncos (Local) : 56.72% ; Jacksonville Jaguars (Visiteur) : 43.28%. Pour Jacksonville Jaguars (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.31. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.32, soit une espérance positive de +0.411%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV +0.411%E +0.177%K +0.311%G +0.001%1.9%2026-09-20 20:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.71%E -2.80%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -0.455%E -0.198%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-19 20:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.71%E -2.80%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -0.455%E -0.198%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-19 20:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.71%E -2.80%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -0.455%E -0.198%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-19 20:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.71%E -2.80%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -0.455%E -0.198%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-19 20:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.28%E -3.16%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.455%E -0.198%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-20 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -5.28%E -3.16%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -1.32%E -0.579%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-19 20:04
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.01%E -1.76%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.19%E -0.967%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-20 19:54
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.62%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-20 19:59
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.62%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-20 20:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.62%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-20 20:03
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.62%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-20 20:04
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.62%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-20 17:27
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.85%E -3.52%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.62%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 20:04
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.85%E -3.52%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.62%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 20:04
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.85%E -3.52%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.62%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 20:04
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.85%E -3.52%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.62%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 20:04
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.71%E -2.80%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.05%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 12:29
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.48%E -1.56%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 19:37
MyBookie.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.48%E -1.56%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 19:38
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.01%E -1.76%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 19:34
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.01%E -1.76%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 19:34
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.01%E -1.76%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 19:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 19:34
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 20:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 16:29
betfred_uk🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-20 19:44
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-20 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.71%E -2.80%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 19:24
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.71%E -2.80%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 19:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.28%E -3.16%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 19:34
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.28%E -3.16%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 19:39
TAB🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.28%E -3.16%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 19:29
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.41%E -3.89%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 20:04
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.71%E -2.80%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.65%E -2.59%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 20:04
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.71%E -2.80%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.65%E -2.59%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 20:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.85%E -3.52%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.65%E -2.59%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 19:39
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.08%E -2.80%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 20:03
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.01%E -1.76%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 20:04
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.01%E -1.76%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 20:04
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 20:04
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 19:34
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 19:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 19:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 19:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.28%E -3.16%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 19:49
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.41%E -3.89%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 20:04
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.41%E -3.89%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 20:03
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.41%E -3.89%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 20:03
NetBet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.11%E -5.01%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-20 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.68%E -5.39%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 20:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -7.81%E -3.67%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 20:04
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.28%E -3.16%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.11%E -4.34%K -8.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 20:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.11%E -5.01%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.11%E -4.34%K -8.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 19:38
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.44%E -1.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -11.27%E -5.50%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 57.79%EV -15.49%E -10.39%K -31.61%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 42.21%EV -11.71%E -5.74%K -11.26%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-19 20:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-09-20 20:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-09-20 20:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-09-20 20:04
ProphetX◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-09-20 20:04
Smarkets◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-09-20 20:04
Matchbook◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-09-20 20:04
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-20 17:09
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-20 17:14
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-20 19:42
BetOpenly◎1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%2.9%2026-09-20 19:59