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Denver Broncos v Jacksonville Jaguars
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Denver Broncos (Local)
Predicción 56.72%1.76momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -1.42%
Kelly -3.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.38%56.72%56.67%57.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.491.681.681.7267.11%59.62%59.52%58.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jacksonville Jaguars (Visitante)
Predicción 43.28%2.31momio equitativo
EV +0.411%
Ventaja +0.177%
Kelly +0.311%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.07%43.28%43.33%45.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.042.202.202.3249.02%45.46%45.45%43.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Denver Broncos (Local): 56.72%; Jacksonville Jaguars (Visitante): 43.28%. Para Jacksonville Jaguars (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.31. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.32, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.411%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV +0.411%E +0.177%K +0.311%G +0.001% | 1.9% | 2026-09-20 20:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.71%E -2.80%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -0.455%E -0.198%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-19 20:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.71%E -2.80%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -0.455%E -0.198%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-19 20:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.71%E -2.80%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -0.455%E -0.198%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-19 20:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.71%E -2.80%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -0.455%E -0.198%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-19 20:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.28%E -3.16%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.455%E -0.198%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-20 20:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -5.28%E -3.16%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -1.32%E -0.579%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-19 20:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.01%E -1.76%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.19%E -0.967%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-20 19:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.62%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-20 19:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.62%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-20 20:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.62%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-20 20:03 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.62%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-20 20:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.62%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-20 17:27 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.85%E -3.52%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.62%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-19 20:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.85%E -3.52%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.62%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-19 20:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.85%E -3.52%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.62%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-19 20:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.85%E -3.52%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.62%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-19 20:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.71%E -2.80%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.05%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 12:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.48%E -1.56%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 19:37 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.48%E -1.56%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 19:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.01%E -1.76%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.01%E -1.76%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.01%E -1.76%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 20:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 16:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-20 19:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-20 19:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.71%E -2.80%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 19:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.71%E -2.80%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 19:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.28%E -3.16%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.28%E -3.16%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 19:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.28%E -3.16%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 19:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.41%E -3.89%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 20:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.71%E -2.80%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.65%E -2.59%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 20:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.71%E -2.80%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.65%E -2.59%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 20:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.85%E -3.52%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.65%E -2.59%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 19:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.14%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.08%E -2.80%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 20:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.01%E -1.76%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 20:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.01%E -1.76%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 20:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 20:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 19:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 19:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 19:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.28%E -3.16%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 19:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.41%E -3.89%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 20:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.41%E -3.89%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 20:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.41%E -3.89%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 20:03 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.11%E -5.01%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-20 19:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.68%E -5.39%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.95%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-20 20:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -7.81%E -3.67%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 20:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.28%E -3.16%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.11%E -4.34%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 20:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.11%E -5.01%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.11%E -4.34%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-20 19:38 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.44%E -1.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -11.27%E -5.50%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 16:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 57.79%EV -15.49%E -10.39%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 42.21%EV -11.71%E -5.74%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-09-19 20:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-09-20 20:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-09-20 20:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-09-20 20:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-09-20 20:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-09-20 20:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-09-20 20:04 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-09-20 17:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-09-20 17:14 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-09-20 19:42 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18% | 2.9% | 2026-09-20 19:59 |