Language:English
Chicago Bears v New York Jets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Bears (Local)
Prediction 62.74%1.59fair odd
EV +2.90%
Edge +1.77%
Kelly +4.53%
Growth +0.131%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.62%62.58%62.82%64.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.521.531.6472.46%65.66%65.36%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Jets (Visit)
Prediction 37.26%2.68fair odd
EV +1.71%
Edge +0.627%
Kelly +0.989%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 2.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.92%37.42%37.18%42.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.562.552.7344.84%39.10%39.22%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Bears (Local): 62.74%; New York Jets (Visit): 37.26%. For Chicago Bears (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.59. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.90%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV +2.90%E +1.77%K +4.53%G +0.131% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -16.92%E -7.59%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 16:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.12%E -1.36%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -2.12%E -1.36%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -6.11%E -2.43%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 16:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -2.75%E -1.77%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -2.02%E -0.766%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.75%E -1.77%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-04 09:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.75%E -1.77%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-04 09:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.75%E -1.77%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-04 09:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.75%E -1.77%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-04 09:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.75%E -1.77%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.75%E -1.77%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.38%E -2.19%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.39%E -0.911%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 16:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.38%E -2.19%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-04 15:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.38%E -2.19%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 09:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.38%E -2.19%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV +1.71%E +0.627%K +0.989%G +0.017% | 2.0% | 2026-10-04 16:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.27%E -0.479%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-02 15:43 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -3.51%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 14:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-02 17:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 15:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 09:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 09:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 09:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 09:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -6.11%E -2.43%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 16:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 16:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -4.63%E -3.05%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -0.897%E -0.337%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-04 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -4.63%E -3.05%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -0.897%E -0.337%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.63%E -3.05%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.63%E -3.05%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 00:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.63%E -3.05%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.74%E -2.27%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 16:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.63%E -3.05%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.74%E -2.27%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.63%E -3.05%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.26%E -3.48%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.27%E -0.479%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 16:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.26%E -3.48%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 09:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.26%E -3.48%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.26%E -3.48%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 16:46 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.26%E -3.48%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 14:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 15:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 15:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 15:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 15:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 15:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 15:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.51%E -4.37%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -7.14%E -4.82%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -8.72%E -3.56%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-04 16:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.77%E -5.28%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -9.02%E -6.22%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.72%E -3.56%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-04 16:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 62.50%EV -13.41%E -9.72%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.50%EV -14.31%E -6.22%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-10-04 09:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 0.3% | 2026-10-04 16:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11% | 0.3% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-10-04 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-10-04 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82% | 2.1% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |