Chicago Bears v New York Jets

2026-10-04 17:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

77%

23%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Chicago Bears (Local)

Prediction 76.60%1.31fair odd

EV -4.25%

Edge -3.40%

Kelly -17.01%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

76.56%76.60%76.60%76.64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.241.251.251.2581%80%80%80%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New York Jets (Visit)

Prediction 23.40%4.27fair odd

EV -4.05%

Edge -0.988%

Kelly -1.31%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

23.36%23.40%23.40%23.44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

4.054.074.074.1025%25%25%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.05%E -0.988%K -1.31%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-17 16:24
Caesars	1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000%	4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -5.22%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-15 21:24

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.