Chicago Bears v New York Jets

2026-10-04 17:00 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Chicago Bears (Local)

Odds

1.2480.65%Min

1.2580.32%Mean

1.2580.32%Median

1.2580.00%Max

Consensus probabilities

76.56%1.306Min

76.64%1.305Max

76.60%1.306Mean

76.60%1.306Median

76.60%1.306IQM

76.60%1.305Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.25 under the IQM model: 76.60%

EV -4.25%Edge -3.40%Kelly -17.01%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: New York Jets (Visit)

Odds

4.0524.69%Min

4.0724.54%Mean

4.0724.54%Median

4.1024.39%Max

Consensus probabilities

23.36%4.280Min

23.44%4.266Max

23.40%4.273Mean

23.40%4.273Median

23.40%4.273IQM

23.40%4.274Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.10 under the IQM model: 23.40%

EV -4.05%Edge -0.988%Kelly -1.31%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Chicago Bears (Local) ▼	New York Jets (Visit)	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.25I 80.00% NM 76.64%EV -4.25% E -3.40% K -17.01% G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39% NM 23.36%EV -4.05% E -0.988% K -1.31% G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-06-22 22:44
Bet Right	1.25I 80.00% NM 76.64%EV -4.25% E -3.40% K -17.01% G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39% NM 23.36%EV -4.05% E -0.988% K -1.31% G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-05-26 02:11
Caesars	1.24I 80.65% NM 76.56%EV -5.02% E -4.05% K -20.91% G +0.000%	4.05I 24.69% NM 23.44%EV -5.22% E -1.29% K -1.71% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-15 21:24

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth