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Chicago Bears v New York Jets
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago Bears (Local)
Predicción 62.74%1.59momio equitativo
EV +2.90%
Ventaja +1.77%
Kelly +4.53%
Crecimiento +0.131%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.62%62.58%62.82%64.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.381.521.531.6472.46%65.66%65.36%60.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
New York Jets (Visitante)
Predicción 37.26%2.68momio equitativo
EV +1.71%
Ventaja +0.627%
Kelly +0.989%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.92%37.42%37.18%42.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.232.562.552.7344.84%39.10%39.22%36.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chicago Bears (Local): 62.74%; New York Jets (Visitante): 37.26%. Para Chicago Bears (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.59. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.64, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.90%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV +2.90%E +1.77%K +4.53%G +0.131% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -16.92%E -7.59%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 16:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.12%E -1.36%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -2.12%E -1.36%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -6.11%E -2.43%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 16:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -2.75%E -1.77%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -2.02%E -0.766%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.75%E -1.77%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-04 09:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.75%E -1.77%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-04 09:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.75%E -1.77%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-04 09:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.75%E -1.77%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-04 09:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.75%E -1.77%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.75%E -1.77%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.38%E -2.19%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.39%E -0.911%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 16:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.38%E -2.19%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-04 15:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.38%E -2.19%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 09:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.38%E -2.19%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV +1.71%E +0.627%K +0.989%G +0.017% | 2.0% | 2026-10-04 16:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.27%E -0.479%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-02 15:43 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -3.51%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 14:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-02 17:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 15:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 09:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 09:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 09:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 09:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -6.11%E -2.43%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 16:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 16:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -4.63%E -3.05%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -0.897%E -0.337%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-04 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -4.63%E -3.05%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -0.897%E -0.337%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.63%E -3.05%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.63%E -3.05%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 00:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.63%E -3.05%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.74%E -2.27%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 16:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.63%E -3.05%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.74%E -2.27%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.63%E -3.05%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.26%E -3.48%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.27%E -0.479%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 16:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.26%E -3.48%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 09:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.26%E -3.48%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.26%E -3.48%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 16:46 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.26%E -3.48%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 14:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 15:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 15:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 15:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 15:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 15:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 15:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.51%E -4.37%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -7.14%E -4.82%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -8.72%E -3.56%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-04 16:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.77%E -5.28%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -9.02%E -6.22%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.72%E -3.56%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-04 16:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 62.50%EV -13.41%E -9.72%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.50%EV -14.31%E -6.22%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-10-04 09:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 0.3% | 2026-10-04 16:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11% | 0.3% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-10-04 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-10-04 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82% | 2.1% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |