Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Bears v New York Jets

Início: 2026-10-04 17:02 UTC

Final: Chicago Bears 23–12 New York Jets

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Bears (Local)

Previsão 62.74%1.59odd justa
EV +2.90%
Vantagem +1.77%
Kelly +4.53%
Crescimento +0.131%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.62%62.58%62.82%64.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.381.521.531.6472.46%65.66%65.36%60.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Jets (Visitante)

Previsão 37.26%2.68odd justa
EV +1.71%
Vantagem +0.627%
Kelly +0.989%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.92%37.42%37.18%42.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.232.562.552.7344.84%39.10%39.22%36.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago Bears (Local): 62.74%; New York Jets (Visitante): 37.26%. Para Chicago Bears (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.59. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.64, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.90%.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV +2.90%E +1.77%K +4.53%G +0.131%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -16.92%E -7.59%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 16:59
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.12%E -1.36%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-04 17:00
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -2.12%E -1.36%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -6.11%E -2.43%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-04 16:40
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -2.75%E -1.77%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -2.02%E -0.766%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-04 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.75%E -1.77%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-04 09:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.75%E -1.77%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-04 09:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.75%E -1.77%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-04 09:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.75%E -1.77%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-04 09:19
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.75%E -1.77%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.75%E -1.77%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 17:00
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.38%E -2.19%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.39%E -0.911%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-04 16:05
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.38%E -2.19%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-04 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.38%E -2.19%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 09:19
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.38%E -2.19%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 16:40
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV +1.71%E +0.627%K +0.989%G +0.017%2.0%2026-10-04 16:45
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.27%E -0.479%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-02 15:43
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-04 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-04 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-04 17:00
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-04 16:50
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-04 17:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -3.51%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-04 14:40
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-02 17:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 15:50
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 09:20
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 09:20
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 09:19
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 09:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 17:00
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -6.11%E -2.43%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 16:40
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 16:35
TAB🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.00%E -2.62%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -4.63%E -3.05%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -0.897%E -0.337%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-04 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -4.63%E -3.05%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -0.897%E -0.337%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-04 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.63%E -3.05%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 17:00
Caesars🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.63%E -3.05%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-03 00:04
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.63%E -3.05%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.74%E -2.27%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 16:54
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.63%E -3.05%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.74%E -2.27%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.63%E -3.05%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 17:00
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.26%E -3.48%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.27%E -0.479%K -0.770%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-04 16:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.26%E -3.48%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 09:10
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.26%E -3.48%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.26%E -3.48%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 16:46
Codere (IT)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.26%E -3.48%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 14:40
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 15:44
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 15:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 15:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 15:44
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-04 17:00
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-04 15:20
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.86%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-04 15:20
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.51%E -4.37%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -7.14%E -4.82%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -8.72%E -3.56%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-04 16:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.77%E -5.28%K -16.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-03 18:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -9.02%E -6.22%K -20.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.72%E -3.56%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-04 16:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 62.50%EV -13.41%E -9.72%K -35.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.50%EV -14.31%E -6.22%K -11.01%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-04 09:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-10-04 16:59
ProphetX◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%0.3%2026-10-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-10-04 17:00
Novig◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-10-04 17:00
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-10-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-10-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-10-04 17:00
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-10-04 16:55
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-10-04 15:05
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%2.1%2026-10-04 17:00