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Carolina Panthers v Chicago Bears

2026-09-13 17:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Carolina Panthers (Local)

Prediction 42.66%2.34fair odd
EV +0.249%
Edge +0.106%
Kelly +0.184%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.81%42.89%42.75%46.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.222.232.3550.25%45.12%44.84%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Bears (Visit)

Prediction 57.34%1.74fair odd
EV +0.920%
Edge +0.523%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.68%57.11%57.25%59.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.661.671.7667.57%60.19%59.88%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Carolina Panthers (Local): 42.66%; Chicago Bears (Visit): 57.34%. For Chicago Bears (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.74. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.76, producing a positive expected value of +0.920%.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -12.98%E -6.36%K -12.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV +0.920%E +0.523%K +1.21%G +0.011%5.8%2026-05-19 19:40
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.09%E -1.83%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-25 16:20
GTbets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.09%E -1.83%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-25 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.09%E -1.83%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-25 17:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.09%E -1.83%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-25 17:30
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.09%E -1.83%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-25 17:30
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.09%E -1.83%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 09:39
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 14:49
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.44%E -1.98%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 16:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.87%E -2.18%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.87%E -2.18%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.87%E -2.18%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 00:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.87%E -2.18%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 00:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.87%E -2.18%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 00:10
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 02:20
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 03:59
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -8.71%E -4.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 00:09
Bally Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -8.71%E -4.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 00:09
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -8.71%E -4.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 00:09
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -9.56%E -4.51%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 00:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.88%E -0.819%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-03 04:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.88%E -0.819%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-07 19:45
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 03:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 03:59
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 11:55
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.74%E -1.20%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.81%E -2.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 19:05
ReBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.44%E -1.98%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.81%E -2.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 04:00
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +0.249%E +0.106%K +0.184%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 00:45
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 04:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -5.72%E -2.59%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 03:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.96%E -3.63%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 14:54
Coolbet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.30%E -2.39%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.96%E -3.63%K -9.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 14:50
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.249%E +0.106%K +0.184%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 00:44
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.88%E -0.819%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 18:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 03:59
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 04:00
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -7.00%E -3.21%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -7.68%E -4.77%K -12.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 14:50
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -7.00%E -3.21%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -7.68%E -4.77%K -12.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 14:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 42.65%EV -15.11%E -7.59%K -15.26%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 57.35%EV -15.14%E -10.23%K -31.53%G +0.000%17.8%2026-08-06 12:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-08-08 05:30
Polymarket◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.1%2026-08-06 17:40
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%8.0%2026-08-03 04:00
Arbitrage (2 combinations) +0.63%Bovada 2.35 (42.8%) / Marathon Bet 1.76 (57.2%)Show all 2 combinations
Carolina Panthers (Local)Chicago Bears (Visit)Margin
Pinnacle🎯 2.35 (42.8%)Marathon Bet🎯 1.76 (57.2%)+0.633%
Bovada🎯 2.35 (42.8%)Marathon Bet🎯 1.76 (57.2%)+0.633%