La escuela de los momios

Carolina Panthers v Chicago Bears

2026-09-13 17:00 UTC — NFL

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Carolina Panthers (Local)

Predicción 43.14%2.32momio equitativo
EV -0.771%
Ventaja -0.335%
Kelly -0.593%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.33%43.47%43.02%46.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.972.182.182.3050.76%45.81%45.87%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago Bears (Visitante)

Predicción 56.86%1.76momio equitativo
EV +0.068%
Ventaja +0.039%
Kelly +0.090%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.68%56.53%56.98%58.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.681.691.7667.57%59.42%59.17%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -11.99%E -5.88%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV +0.068%E +0.039%K +0.090%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 19:40
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.64%E -0.947%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 23:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.64%E -0.947%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 23:50
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 00:54
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 00:54
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.77%E -1.62%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-15 01:14
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 16:22
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
Bally Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
SportsBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.81%E -3.15%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 01:09
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 01:09
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 16:25
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 02:10
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.26%E -4.93%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 23:45
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.46%EV -1.20%E -0.525%K -0.932%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.54%EV -3.91%E -2.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-04 04:30
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.91%E -2.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-25 16:20
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.91%E -2.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-25 16:25
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.91%E -2.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-25 16:20
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.91%E -2.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-25 16:19
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.91%E -2.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-25 17:30
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.91%E -2.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-25 17:30
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.91%E -2.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-25 17:30
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.91%E -2.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 16:20
DraftKings2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.36%E -1.50%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 16:19
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 02:20
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.771%E -0.335%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 18:10
ReBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 16:20
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 16:25
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 16:24
MyBookie.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.52%E -2.52%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.62%E -3.38%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 16:25
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 16:20
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 17:34
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 16:15
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.771%E -0.335%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.89%E -4.87%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 18:15
Betsson2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -6.81%E -3.15%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.89%E -4.87%K -12.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 17:35
NordicBet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -6.81%E -3.15%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.89%E -4.87%K -12.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 17:35
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -8.54%E -4.03%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -7.89%E -4.87%K -12.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 17:34
NetBet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 42.90%EV -15.01%E -7.62%K -15.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 57.10%EV -15.85%E -10.71%K -33.02%G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-26 03:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (2)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-07-25 00:10
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%8.1%2026-07-25 16:25