Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Carolina Panthers v Chicago Bears

Início: 2026-09-13 17:04 UTC

Final: Carolina Panthers 37–59 Chicago Bears

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Carolina Panthers (Local)

Previsão 40.86%2.45odd justa
EV +0.095%
Vantagem +0.039%
Kelly +0.066%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.60%40.92%40.81%43.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.342.352.4546.51%42.70%42.55%40.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago Bears (Visitante)

Previsão 59.14%1.69odd justa
EV -1.82%
Vantagem -1.10%
Kelly -2.76%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.88%59.08%59.19%61.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.431.611.611.6669.93%62.26%62.11%60.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Carolina Panthers (Local): 40.86%; Chicago Bears (Visitante): 59.14%. Para Carolina Panthers (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.448. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.450, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.095%.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.095%E +0.039%K +0.066%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 15:00
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV +0.095%E +0.039%K +0.066%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.92%E -5.79%K -16.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 14:45
Coolbet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -0.313%E -0.128%K -0.218%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -3.00%E -1.83%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-13 16:01
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -0.722%E -0.297%K -0.505%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-13 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -0.722%E -0.297%K -0.505%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-13 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -0.722%E -0.297%K -0.505%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-13 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -0.722%E -0.297%K -0.505%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-13 15:20
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.95%E -0.812%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.95%E -0.812%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 15:20
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.95%E -0.812%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.37%E -3.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 15:13
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.95%E -0.812%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 17:01
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.36%E -0.986%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.41%E -1.46%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-13 16:45
BetUS🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.76%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 15:15
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.76%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.37%E -3.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 15:20
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.76%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.37%E -3.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 15:20
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.76%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.37%E -3.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 15:20
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.76%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.37%E -3.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 15:20
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.76%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.37%E -3.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 11:19
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.76%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.37%E -3.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 11:18
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.58%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 16:20
Caesars🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.58%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 16:35
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.41%E -1.46%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-13 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.41%E -1.46%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-13 15:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.41%E -1.46%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-13 15:15
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.41%E -1.46%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-13 15:18
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.59%E -2.20%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 15:20
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.59%E -2.20%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 15:25
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 15:25
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 15:20
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 16:29
betfred_uk🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 15:20
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 15:20
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.37%E -3.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 03:25
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.37%E -3.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 17:01
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.37%E -3.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 15:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 15:05
GTbets🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.40%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 17:01
SportsBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.40%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.37%E -3.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 16:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.81%E -2.06%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 16:38
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.81%E -2.06%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.37%E -3.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.00%E -1.83%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 17:01
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 16:20
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 17:01
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 16:35
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 16:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 16:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.37%E -3.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 16:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.58%EV -7.26%E -3.20%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -8.33%E -5.37%K -15.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 16:30
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 17:00
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.37%E -3.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 15:20
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -10.53%E -4.81%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -1.82%E -1.10%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -12.16%E -5.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.58%EV -10.10%E -6.64%K -19.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.94%EV -12.16%E -5.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 60.06%EV -15.42%E -10.79%K -35.87%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-13 15:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-09-13 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-09-13 17:00
ProphetX◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-09-13 16:55
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-13 17:00
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-13 17:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-13 17:01
Polymarket◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-09-13 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%1.2%2026-09-13 16:55
Matchbook◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%1.2%2026-09-13 17:00
BetOpenly◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%1.9%2026-09-13 16:50