Language:English
Atlanta Falcons v Baltimore Ravens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlanta Falcons (Local)
Prediction 61.15%1.64fair odd
EV +2.13%
Edge +1.27%
Kelly +3.17%
Growth +0.067%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.62%60.95%61.10%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.561.571.6770.92%64.19%63.69%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Baltimore Ravens (Visit)
Prediction 38.85%2.57fair odd
EV +1.00%
Edge +0.385%
Kelly +0.626%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%39.05%38.90%43.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.452.452.6045.87%40.75%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Falcons (Local): 61.15%; Baltimore Ravens (Visit): 38.85%. For Atlanta Falcons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.64. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.13%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV +2.13%E +1.27%K +3.17%G +0.067% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -15.31%E -7.02%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-12 00:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.16%E -1.35%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -1.72%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-10-11 23:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -2.77%E -1.74%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -8.71%E -3.71%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-12 00:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.38%E -2.14%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-12 00:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -3.38%E -2.14%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -5.21%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 12:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.38%E -2.14%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 00:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -0.552%E -0.215%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-12 00:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -0.940%E -0.369%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-12 00:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.72%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-12 00:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.72%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-12 00:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-11 22:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-11 22:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-11 22:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-11 22:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-12 00:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-12 00:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-11 11:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-10 13:58 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.66%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 22:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 23:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-12 00:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 22:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-12 00:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-12 00:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-12 00:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-12 00:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.99%E -2.48%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 22:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 21:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-12 00:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-12 00:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 21:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.71%E -3.71%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-12 00:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.940%E -0.369%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-12 00:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.940%E -0.369%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-12 00:06 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -1.72%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-12 00:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-12 00:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 23:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 22:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 22:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 22:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-12 00:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-12 00:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 23:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 23:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-12 00:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.940%E -0.369%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-12 00:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-12 00:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 23:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 23:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -7.05%E -4.64%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-11 23:56 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -7.66%E -5.07%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.71%E -3.71%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 23:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.27%E -5.51%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +1.00%E +0.385%K +0.626%G +0.006% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 00:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.27%E -5.51%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.71%E -3.71%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-12 00:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 60.94%EV -13.77%E -9.77%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.06%EV -14.54%E -6.61%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-10-11 22:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74% | 0.1% | 2026-10-12 00:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32% | 0.3% | 2026-10-11 23:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-10-12 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-10-12 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 0.8% | 2026-10-12 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 0.8% | 2026-10-12 00:19 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-10-11 23:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-10-12 00:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47% | 1.9% | 2026-10-12 00:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-10-12 00:19 |