Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlanta Falcons v Baltimore Ravens

Coup d’envoi : 2026-10-12 00:23 UTC

Score final : Atlanta Falcons 23–30 Baltimore Ravens

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlanta Falcons (Local)

Prévision 61.15%1.64cote équitable
EV +2.13%
Avantage +1.27%
Kelly +3.17%
Croissance +0.067%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.62%60.95%61.10%63.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.411.561.571.6770.92%64.19%63.69%59.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Baltimore Ravens (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.85%2.57cote équitable
EV +1.00%
Avantage +0.385%
Kelly +0.626%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.59%39.05%38.90%43.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.182.452.452.6045.87%40.75%40.82%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Atlanta Falcons (Local) : 61.15% ; Baltimore Ravens (Visiteur) : 38.85%. Pour Atlanta Falcons (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.64. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.67, soit une espérance positive de +2.13%.

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV +2.13%E +1.27%K +3.17%G +0.067%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -15.31%E -7.02%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-12 00:04
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.16%E -1.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -1.72%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.0%2026-10-11 23:39
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -2.77%E -1.74%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -8.71%E -3.71%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 00:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.38%E -2.14%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-12 00:20
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -3.38%E -2.14%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -5.21%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 12:24
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.38%E -2.14%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-12 00:00
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -0.552%E -0.215%K -0.354%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-12 00:20
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -0.940%E -0.369%K -0.607%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-12 00:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.72%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-12 00:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.72%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-12 00:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 22:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 22:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 22:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 22:09
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-12 00:14
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-12 00:14
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 11:39
Caesars🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 13:58
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.66%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 22:09
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 23:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-12 00:14
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 22:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-12 00:14
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-12 00:14
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-12 00:14
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-12 00:14
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.99%E -2.48%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 22:20
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 21:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 00:15
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 00:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 21:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.71%E -3.71%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-12 00:19
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.940%E -0.369%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-12 00:14
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.940%E -0.369%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-12 00:06
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -1.72%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-12 00:09
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-12 00:20
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 23:49
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 22:10
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 22:09
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 22:09
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 00:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-12 00:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 23:40
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 23:54
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-12 00:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.940%E -0.369%K -0.607%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-12 00:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-12 00:14
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 14:00
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 23:39
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -7.05%E -4.64%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-11 23:56
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -7.66%E -5.07%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.71%E -3.71%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-11 23:29
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.27%E -5.51%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +1.00%E +0.385%K +0.626%G +0.006%5.1%2026-10-12 00:19
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.27%E -5.51%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.71%E -3.71%K -6.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-12 00:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 60.94%EV -13.77%E -9.77%K -33.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.06%EV -14.54%E -6.61%K -12.11%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-11 22:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-10-12 00:20
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32%0.3%2026-10-11 23:44
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-10-12 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-10-12 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-10-12 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-10-12 00:19
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-10-11 23:30
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-10-12 00:19
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.9%2026-10-12 00:20
BetOpenly◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-10-12 00:19