Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Falcons v Baltimore Ravens

Inicio: 2026-10-12 00:23 UTC

Final: Atlanta Falcons 23–30 Baltimore Ravens

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Falcons (Local)

Predicción 61.15%1.64momio equitativo
EV +2.13%
Ventaja +1.27%
Kelly +3.17%
Crecimiento +0.067%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.62%60.95%61.10%63.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.411.561.571.6770.92%64.19%63.69%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Baltimore Ravens (Visitante)

Predicción 38.85%2.57momio equitativo
EV +1.00%
Ventaja +0.385%
Kelly +0.626%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.59%39.05%38.90%43.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.182.452.452.6045.87%40.75%40.82%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Atlanta Falcons (Local): 61.15%; Baltimore Ravens (Visitante): 38.85%. Para Atlanta Falcons (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.64. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.67, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.13%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV +2.13%E +1.27%K +3.17%G +0.067%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -15.31%E -7.02%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-12 00:04
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.16%E -1.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -1.72%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.0%2026-10-11 23:39
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -2.77%E -1.74%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -8.71%E -3.71%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 00:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.38%E -2.14%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-12 00:20
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -3.38%E -2.14%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -5.21%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 12:24
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.38%E -2.14%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-12 00:00
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -0.552%E -0.215%K -0.354%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-12 00:20
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -0.940%E -0.369%K -0.607%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-12 00:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.72%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-12 00:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.72%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-12 00:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 22:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 22:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 22:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 22:09
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-12 00:14
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-12 00:14
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 11:39
Caesars🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 13:58
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.66%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 22:09
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 23:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-12 00:14
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 22:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-12 00:14
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-12 00:14
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-12 00:14
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-12 00:14
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.99%E -2.48%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 22:20
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 21:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 00:15
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 00:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 21:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.71%E -3.71%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-12 00:19
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.940%E -0.369%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-12 00:14
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.940%E -0.369%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-12 00:06
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -1.72%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-12 00:09
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-12 00:20
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 23:49
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 22:10
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 22:09
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 22:09
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 00:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-12 00:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 23:40
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 23:54
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-12 00:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.940%E -0.369%K -0.607%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-12 00:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-12 00:14
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 14:00
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 23:39
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -7.05%E -4.64%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-11 23:56
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -7.66%E -5.07%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.71%E -3.71%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-11 23:29
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.27%E -5.51%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +1.00%E +0.385%K +0.626%G +0.006%5.1%2026-10-12 00:19
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.27%E -5.51%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.71%E -3.71%K -6.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-12 00:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 60.94%EV -13.77%E -9.77%K -33.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.06%EV -14.54%E -6.61%K -12.11%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-11 22:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-10-12 00:20
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32%0.3%2026-10-11 23:44
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-10-12 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-10-12 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-10-12 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-10-12 00:19
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-10-11 23:30
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-10-12 00:19
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.9%2026-10-12 00:20
BetOpenly◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-10-12 00:19