Language:English
Virginia Cavaliers v NC State Wolfpack
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Virginia Cavaliers (Local)
Prediction 61.46%1.63fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.649%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.49%61.32%61.47%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.551.561.6168.03%64.51%64.10%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
NC State Wolfpack (Visit)
Prediction 38.54%2.59fair odd
EV +0.196%
Edge +0.075%
Kelly +0.122%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%38.68%38.53%40.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.452.452.6043.48%40.81%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Cavaliers (Local): 61.46%; NC State Wolfpack (Visit): 38.54%. For NC State Wolfpack (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.196%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.81%E -5.20%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.196%E +0.075%K +0.122%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 14:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -1.73%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-29 19:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.73%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-29 19:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.58%E -4.33%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.73%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 19:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.35%E -3.47%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.12%E -0.833%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 19:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.50%E -0.989%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-29 19:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -2.89%E -1.15%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 19:37 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -2.89%E -1.83%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -3.27%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -2.89%E -1.83%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -3.27%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-29 19:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -3.27%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 19:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.35%E -3.47%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 19:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.19%E -4.76%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 19:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.65%E -6.56%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 18:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -6.58%E -4.33%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -4.04%E -1.62%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 17:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.08%EV -2.89%E -1.83%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -4.43%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-29 19:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.58%E -4.33%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -4.43%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -5.20%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 19:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -6.58%E -4.33%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.19%EV -5.20%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 19:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -6.58%E -4.33%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.19%EV -5.20%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 19:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%EV -6.74%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 19:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.04%E -0.649%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 19:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.66%E -1.04%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 19:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 19:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 19:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 19:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.19%E -4.76%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 19:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 19:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -2.89%E -1.83%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -10.59%E -4.57%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 19:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 19:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 19:18 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 19:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.97% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 37.03% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 19:22 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79% | 1.4% | 2026-08-29 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79% | 1.4% | 2026-08-29 19:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47% | 1.9% | 2026-08-29 19:29 |