The School of Odds

Virginia Cavaliers v NC State Wolfpack

2026-08-29 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Virginia Cavaliers (Local)

Prediction 63.90%1.57fair odd
EV -0.323%
Edge -0.207%
Kelly -0.576%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.04%64.03%63.83%66.35%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.401.481.501.5671.43%67.50%66.67%64.10%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

NC State Wolfpack (Visit)

Prediction 36.10%2.77fair odd
EV +1.09%
Edge +0.390%
Kelly +0.607%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.65%35.97%36.17%37.96%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.502.632.622.8040.00%38.01%38.17%35.71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.63%E -6.03%K -20.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +1.09%E +0.390%K +0.607%G +0.007%5.6%2026-07-20 15:35
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.27%E -6.53%K -22.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +1.09%E +0.390%K +0.607%G +0.007%6.1%2026-07-20 15:35
MyBookie.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -9.27%E -6.53%K -22.07%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV +0.731%E +0.262%K +0.408%G +0.003%6.3%2026-07-20 15:40
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.713%E -0.259%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-20 15:35
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -1.80%E -0.660%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 13:35
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -10.55%E -7.53%K -26.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -2.52%E -0.933%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 15:34
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -10.55%E -7.53%K -26.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -2.52%E -0.933%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-28 00:15
betano_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -10.55%E -7.53%K -26.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -2.52%E -0.933%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 15:34
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -3.60%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 19:38
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 16:49
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 16:50
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 16:49
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 16:49
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -6.49%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-20 21:00
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -6.49%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-20 20:55
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -0.323%E -0.207%K -0.576%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-15 19:29
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.60%E -1.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-15 18:59
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.24%E -1.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 16:49
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 16:50
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 16:50
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 16:40
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 16:50
Betr (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 13:35
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -1.60%E -1.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -8.30%E -3.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-15 18:59
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.07%E -4.13%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 13:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (3 combinations) +0.18%Bovada 1.56 (64.2%) / Unibet (UK) 2.80 (35.8%)Show all 3 combinations
Virginia Cavaliers (Local)NC State Wolfpack (Visit)Margin
Bovada 1.56 (64.2%)Hard Rock Bet 2.80 (35.8%)+0.183%
Bovada 1.56 (64.2%)Unibet (UK) 2.80 (35.8%)+0.183%
Bovada 1.56 (64.1%)MyBookie.ag 2.79 (35.9%)+0.055%