Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Cavaliers v NC State Wolfpack

2026-08-29 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Cavaliers (Local)

Prediction 65.36%1.53fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -3.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.96%65.23%65.22%66.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.461.5071.43%68.38%68.49%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

NC State Wolfpack (Visit)

Prediction 34.64%2.89fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.65%34.77%34.78%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.692.702.8039.22%37.17%37.04%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Virginia Cavaliers (Local): 65.36%; NC State Wolfpack (Visit): 34.64%. For Virginia Cavaliers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.53. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.50, with an expected value of -1.96%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.20%E -3.09%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 16:49
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.20%E -3.09%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.20%E -3.09%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 16:49
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.20%E -3.09%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 16:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.66%E -4.57%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 16:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.66%E -4.57%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.66%E -4.57%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 16:50
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.66%E -4.57%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.66%E -4.57%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-20 15:35
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 10:54
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.46%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 22:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.46%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 22:14
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.46%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 22:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 22:14
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.58%E -3.14%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 19:05
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.65%EV -4.58%E -3.14%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.35%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 17:30
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 19:05
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 15:40
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 19:08
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 19:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.46%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -7.50%E -2.81%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 07:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 15:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.55%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.45%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 17:48
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.46%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 19:24
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.46%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 19:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.19%E -5.07%K -17.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-20 15:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.19%E -5.07%K -17.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.20%E -3.09%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-29 19:05
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.46%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 15:34
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.46%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 15:34
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.20%E -3.09%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-04 18:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.