La scuola delle quote

Virginia Cavaliers v NC State Wolfpack

2026-08-29 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

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26 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Virginia Cavaliers (Casa)

Previsione 63.90%1.57quota equa
EV -0.323%
Vantaggio -0.207%
Kelly -0.576%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.04%64.03%63.83%66.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.481.501.5671.43%67.50%66.67%64.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

NC State Wolfpack (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.10%2.77quota equa
EV +1.09%
Vantaggio +0.390%
Kelly +0.607%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.65%35.97%36.17%37.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.632.622.8040.00%38.01%38.17%35.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.63%E -6.03%K -20.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +1.09%E +0.390%K +0.607%G +0.007%5.6%2026-07-20 15:35
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.27%E -6.53%K -22.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +1.09%E +0.390%K +0.607%G +0.007%6.1%2026-07-20 15:35
MyBookie.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -9.27%E -6.53%K -22.07%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV +0.731%E +0.262%K +0.408%G +0.003%6.3%2026-07-20 15:40
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.713%E -0.259%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-20 15:35
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -1.80%E -0.660%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 13:35
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -10.55%E -7.53%K -26.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -2.52%E -0.933%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 15:34
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -10.55%E -7.53%K -26.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -2.52%E -0.933%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-28 00:15
betano_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -10.55%E -7.53%K -26.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -2.52%E -0.933%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 15:34
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -3.60%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 19:38
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 16:49
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 16:50
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 16:49
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 16:49
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -6.49%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-20 21:00
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -6.49%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-20 20:55
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -0.323%E -0.207%K -0.576%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-15 19:29
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.60%E -1.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-15 18:59
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.24%E -1.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 16:49
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 16:50
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 16:50
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 16:40
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 16:50
Betr (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 13:35
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -1.60%E -1.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -8.30%E -3.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-15 18:59
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.07%E -4.13%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 13:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Arbitraggio (3 combinazioni) +0.18%Bovada 1.56 (64.2%) / Unibet (UK) 2.80 (35.8%)Mostra tutte le 3 combinazioni
Virginia Cavaliers (Casa)NC State Wolfpack (Trasferta)Margine
Bovada 1.56 (64.2%)Hard Rock Bet 2.80 (35.8%)+0.183%
Bovada 1.56 (64.2%)Unibet (UK) 2.80 (35.8%)+0.183%
Bovada 1.56 (64.1%)MyBookie.ag 2.79 (35.9%)+0.055%