L’École des cotes

Virginia Cavaliers v NC State Wolfpack

2026-08-29 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Résultat du match

26 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Virginia Cavaliers (Local)

Prévision 63.90%1.57cote équitable
EV -0.323%
Avantage -0.207%
Kelly -0.576%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.04%64.03%63.83%66.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.481.501.5671.43%67.50%66.67%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

NC State Wolfpack (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.10%2.77cote équitable
EV +1.09%
Avantage +0.390%
Kelly +0.607%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.65%35.97%36.17%37.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.632.622.8040.00%38.01%38.17%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (26 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.63%E -6.03%K -20.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +1.09%E +0.390%K +0.607%G +0.007%5.6%2026-07-20 15:35
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.27%E -6.53%K -22.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +1.09%E +0.390%K +0.607%G +0.007%6.1%2026-07-20 15:35
MyBookie.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -9.27%E -6.53%K -22.07%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV +0.731%E +0.262%K +0.408%G +0.003%6.3%2026-07-20 15:40
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.713%E -0.259%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-20 15:35
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -1.80%E -0.660%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 13:35
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -10.55%E -7.53%K -26.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -2.52%E -0.933%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 15:34
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -10.55%E -7.53%K -26.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -2.52%E -0.933%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-28 00:15
betano_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -10.55%E -7.53%K -26.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -2.52%E -0.933%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 15:34
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -3.60%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 19:38
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 16:49
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 16:50
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 16:49
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 16:49
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -6.49%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-20 21:00
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -6.49%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-20 20:55
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -0.323%E -0.207%K -0.576%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-15 19:29
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.60%E -1.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-15 18:59
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.24%E -1.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 16:49
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 16:50
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 16:50
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 16:40
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 16:50
Betr (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 13:35
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -1.60%E -1.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -8.30%E -3.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-15 18:59
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.07%E -4.13%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 13:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Arbitrage (3 combinaisons) +0.18%Bovada 1.56 (64.2%) / Unibet (UK) 2.80 (35.8%)Afficher les 3 combinaisons
Virginia Cavaliers (Local)NC State Wolfpack (Visiteur)Marge
Bovada 1.56 (64.2%)Hard Rock Bet 2.80 (35.8%)+0.183%
Bovada 1.56 (64.2%)Unibet (UK) 2.80 (35.8%)+0.183%
Bovada 1.56 (64.1%)MyBookie.ag 2.79 (35.9%)+0.055%