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UCLA Bruins v San Diego State Aztecs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UCLA Bruins (Local)
Prediction 81.49%1.23fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -11.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.95%81.35%81.55%82.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.171.171.2088.50%85.78%85.47%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Diego State Aztecs (Visit)
Prediction 18.51%5.40fair odd
EV +1.81%
Edge +0.328%
Kelly +0.401%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.30%18.65%18.45%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.125.195.5022.73%19.54%19.27%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCLA Bruins (Local): 81.49%; San Diego State Aztecs (Visit): 18.51%. For San Diego State Aztecs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.40. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.81%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +1.81%E +0.328%K +0.401%G +0.007% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 22:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.47%E -4.72%K -34.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +1.81%E +0.328%K +0.401%G +0.007% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV +1.06%E +0.195%K +0.239%G +0.003% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV +1.06%E +0.195%K +0.239%G +0.003% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.10%E -6.23%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -0.046%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.10%E -6.23%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -0.046%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 17:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.10%E -6.23%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -0.046%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 17:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.10%E -6.23%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -0.046%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.10%E -6.23%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -0.046%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 17:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.10%E -6.23%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -0.046%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.10%E -6.23%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -0.046%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -7.92%E -7.01%K -60.89%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -0.046%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -7.92%E -7.01%K -60.89%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -0.046%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 17:01 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.06%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.94%EV -0.971%E -0.182%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 22:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.40%EV -2.21%E -1.84%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.60%EV -2.82%E -0.538%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-12 22:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -3.84%E -3.26%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -2.82%E -0.538%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 21:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.82%E -0.538%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 21:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.82%E -0.538%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 22:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.82%E -0.538%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 21:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.75%E -0.721%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.10%E -6.23%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -3.75%E -0.721%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.48%EV -3.84%E -3.26%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.52%EV -3.93%E -0.758%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.49%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.51%EV -4.67%E -0.907%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.75%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.91%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV -4.67%E -0.907%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 22:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.84%E -3.26%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -5.60%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 22:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -5.60%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 21:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -5.60%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 22:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.03%E -2.54%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -7.45%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.84%E -3.26%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.45%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 22:32 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.45%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 21:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.45%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.45%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.45%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 21:31 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%EV -3.03%E -2.54%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV -8.38%E -1.69%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.63%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.37%EV -9.86%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -10.23%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -5.47%E -4.72%K -34.20%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -10.23%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -13.00%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 23:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -2.21%E -1.84%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -13.93%E -3.00%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.84%E -3.26%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -14.85%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 21:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.21%E -1.84%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -16.70%E -3.71%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 23:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -18.56%E -4.22%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-12 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -18.56%E -4.22%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-12 23:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-09-12 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.13% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.87% | 0.6% | 2026-09-12 22:57 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91% | 1.5% | 2026-09-12 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91% | 1.5% | 2026-09-12 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91% | 1.5% | 2026-09-12 22:40 |