Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

UCLA Bruins v San Diego State Aztecs

Início: 2026-09-12 23:16 UTC

Final: UCLA Bruins 28–10 San Diego State Aztecs

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

UCLA Bruins (Local)

Previsão 81.49%1.23odd justa
EV -2.21%
Vantagem -1.84%
Kelly -11.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.95%81.35%81.55%82.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.131.171.171.2088.50%85.78%85.47%83.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Diego State Aztecs (Visitante)

Previsão 18.51%5.40odd justa
EV +1.81%
Vantagem +0.328%
Kelly +0.401%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.30%18.65%18.45%21.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.405.125.195.5022.73%19.54%19.27%18.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: UCLA Bruins (Local): 81.49%; San Diego State Aztecs (Visitante): 18.51%. Para San Diego State Aztecs (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.40. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.81%.

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +1.81%E +0.328%K +0.401%G +0.007%3.7%2026-09-12 22:29
FanDuel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.47%E -4.72%K -34.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +1.81%E +0.328%K +0.401%G +0.007%4.4%2026-09-12 22:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV +1.06%E +0.195%K +0.239%G +0.003%3.8%2026-09-12 22:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV +1.06%E +0.195%K +0.239%G +0.003%3.8%2026-09-12 22:30
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.10%E -6.23%K -50.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -0.046%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.10%E -6.23%K -50.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -0.046%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.10%E -6.23%K -50.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -0.046%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:01
ATG (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.10%E -6.23%K -50.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -0.046%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.10%E -6.23%K -50.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -0.046%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:01
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.10%E -6.23%K -50.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -0.046%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:00
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.10%E -6.23%K -50.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -0.046%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -7.92%E -7.01%K -60.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -0.046%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 17:00
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -7.92%E -7.01%K -60.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -0.046%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 17:01
BetAnything🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.06%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.94%EV -0.971%E -0.182%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 22:30
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 81.40%EV -2.21%E -1.84%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.60%EV -2.82%E -0.538%K -0.664%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-12 22:20
BetMGM🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -3.84%E -3.26%K -21.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -2.82%E -0.538%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 21:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.82%E -0.538%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 21:40
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.82%E -0.538%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 22:35
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.82%E -0.538%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 21:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.75%E -0.721%K -0.892%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 22:20
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.10%E -6.23%K -50.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -3.75%E -0.721%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 16:15
Pinnacle🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.48%EV -3.84%E -3.26%K -21.34%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.52%EV -3.93%E -0.758%K -0.939%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 23:00
Fliff🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.49%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.51%EV -4.67%E -0.907%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.75%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.91%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV -4.67%E -0.907%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 22:30
Everygame🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.84%E -3.26%K -21.34%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -5.60%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 22:39
Coolbet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -5.60%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 21:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -5.60%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 22:35
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.03%E -2.54%K -15.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -7.45%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 22:55
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.84%E -3.26%K -21.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.45%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 22:32
Bet Right🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.45%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 21:45
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.45%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.45%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 22:05
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.45%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 21:31
GTbets🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%EV -3.03%E -2.54%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV -8.38%E -1.69%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 22:55
Betsson🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.63%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.37%EV -9.86%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -10.23%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -5.47%E -4.72%K -34.20%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -10.23%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -13.00%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 23:10
PlayUp🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -2.21%E -1.84%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -13.93%E -3.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 14:20
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.84%E -3.26%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -14.85%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 21:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.21%E -1.84%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -16.70%E -3.71%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 23:05
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -18.56%E -4.22%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 23:05
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -18.56%E -4.22%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 23:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-09-12 23:10
Novig◎1.21I 82.64%NM 82.13%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.87%0.6%2026-09-12 22:57
ProphetX◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-09-12 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.5%2026-09-12 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.5%2026-09-12 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.5%2026-09-12 22:40