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UCLA Bruins v San Diego State Aztecs
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
UCLA Bruins (Local)
Predicción 81.49%1.23momio equitativo
EV -2.21%
Ventaja -1.84%
Kelly -11.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.95%81.35%81.55%82.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.131.171.171.2088.50%85.78%85.47%83.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
San Diego State Aztecs (Visitante)
Predicción 18.51%5.40momio equitativo
EV +1.81%
Ventaja +0.328%
Kelly +0.401%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.30%18.65%18.45%21.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.405.125.195.5022.73%19.54%19.27%18.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: UCLA Bruins (Local): 81.49%; San Diego State Aztecs (Visitante): 18.51%. Para San Diego State Aztecs (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.40. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.81%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +1.81%E +0.328%K +0.401%G +0.007% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 22:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.47%E -4.72%K -34.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +1.81%E +0.328%K +0.401%G +0.007% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV +1.06%E +0.195%K +0.239%G +0.003% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV +1.06%E +0.195%K +0.239%G +0.003% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.10%E -6.23%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -0.046%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.10%E -6.23%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -0.046%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 17:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.10%E -6.23%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -0.046%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 17:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.10%E -6.23%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -0.046%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.10%E -6.23%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -0.046%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 17:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.10%E -6.23%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -0.046%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.10%E -6.23%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -0.046%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -7.92%E -7.01%K -60.89%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -0.046%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -7.92%E -7.01%K -60.89%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -0.046%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 17:01 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.06%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.94%EV -0.971%E -0.182%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 22:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.40%EV -2.21%E -1.84%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.60%EV -2.82%E -0.538%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-12 22:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -3.84%E -3.26%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -2.82%E -0.538%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 21:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.82%E -0.538%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 21:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.82%E -0.538%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 22:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.82%E -0.538%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 21:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.75%E -0.721%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.10%E -6.23%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -3.75%E -0.721%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.48%EV -3.84%E -3.26%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.52%EV -3.93%E -0.758%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.49%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.51%EV -4.67%E -0.907%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.75%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.91%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV -4.67%E -0.907%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 22:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.84%E -3.26%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -5.60%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 22:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -5.60%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 21:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -5.60%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 22:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.03%E -2.54%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -7.45%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.84%E -3.26%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.45%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 22:32 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.45%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 21:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.45%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.45%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.45%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 21:31 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%EV -3.03%E -2.54%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV -8.38%E -1.69%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.63%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.37%EV -9.86%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -10.23%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -5.47%E -4.72%K -34.20%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -10.23%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -13.00%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 23:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -2.21%E -1.84%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -13.93%E -3.00%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.84%E -3.26%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -14.85%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 21:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.21%E -1.84%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -16.70%E -3.71%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 23:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -18.56%E -4.22%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-12 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -4.66%E -3.98%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -18.56%E -4.22%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-12 23:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-09-12 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.13% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.87% | 0.6% | 2026-09-12 22:57 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91% | 1.5% | 2026-09-12 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91% | 1.5% | 2026-09-12 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91% | 1.5% | 2026-09-12 22:40 |