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Ole Miss Rebels v Louisville Cardinals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ole Miss Rebels (Local)
Prediction 68.20%1.47fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.767%
Kelly -2.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.28%68.12%68.18%69.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.391.401.4573.53%71.74%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Louisville Cardinals (Visit)
Prediction 31.80%3.14fair odd
EV +0.174%
Edge +0.055%
Kelly +0.081%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.46%31.88%31.82%33.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.003.003.1535.71%33.38%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ole Miss Rebels (Local): 68.20%; Louisville Cardinals (Visit): 31.80%. For Louisville Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.14. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.174%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.174%E +0.055%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 23:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.174%E +0.055%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 21:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -6.57%E -4.79%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -0.780%E -0.250%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 23:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -1.10%E -0.353%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 23:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-06 22:48 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 23:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 23:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 23:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 23:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 23:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.57%E -4.79%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 23:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 23:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV -3.64%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-06 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -3.64%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 23:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 23:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 22:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 17:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-10 08:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 23:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 23:28 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 19:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 19:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 16:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 23:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 23:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.20%E -3.74%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 23:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 23:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.98%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.02%EV -6.82%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 23:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.98%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.02%EV -6.82%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 23:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 23:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 23:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -1.79%E -1.25%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 23:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -1.11%E -0.767%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 23:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 23:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 23:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 23:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 23:18 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.64% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 30.36% | 0.4% | 2026-09-06 23:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 23:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.7% | 2026-09-06 23:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 23:40 |