The School of Odds

Ole Miss Rebels v Louisville Cardinals

2026-09-06 23:30 UTC — NCAAF

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Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Ole Miss Rebels (Local)

Prediction 68.51%1.46fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -6.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.95%68.42%68.60%70.02%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.351.401.401.4274%72%71%70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Louisville Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 31.49%3.18fair odd
EV +0.773%
Edge +0.241%
Kelly +0.351%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.98%31.58%31.40%34.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.752.932.953.2036%34%34%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -6.14%E -4.48%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV +0.773%E +0.241%K +0.351%G +0.003%4.2%2026-07-14 23:05
Bovada1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -6.14%E -4.48%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV +0.773%E +0.241%K +0.351%G +0.003%4.2%2026-07-14 23:04
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-14 20:04
Caesars1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 15:38
FanDuel1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.77%E -3.43%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-14 21:25
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -4.77%E -3.43%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 18:24
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-14 21:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 11:00
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.14%E -4.48%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 18:30
MyBookie.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -5.46%E -3.96%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -6.79%E -2.29%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 02:04
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-13 16:54
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.46%E -3.96%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-13 16:55
PointsBet (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.51%E -5.57%K -21.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 13:39
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.72%E -1.91%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.82%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 13:50
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.72%E -1.91%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.82%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 13:50
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.72%E -1.91%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.82%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 13:50
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.72%E -1.91%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.82%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 13:49
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.72%E -1.91%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.82%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 13:50
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.72%E -1.91%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.82%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 13:49
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.72%E -1.91%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.82%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 13:50
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -11.82%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-13 16:59
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.72%E -1.91%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.40%E -4.87%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.72%E -1.91%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.40%E -4.87%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.