Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ole Miss Rebels v Louisville Cardinals

Início: 2026-09-06 23:45 UTC

Final: Ole Miss Rebels 41–38 Louisville Cardinals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ole Miss Rebels (Local)

Previsão 68.20%1.47odd justa
EV -1.11%
Vantagem -0.767%
Kelly -2.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.28%68.12%68.18%69.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.361.391.401.4573.53%71.74%71.43%68.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Louisville Cardinals (Visitante)

Previsão 31.80%3.14odd justa
EV +0.174%
Vantagem +0.055%
Kelly +0.081%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.46%31.88%31.82%33.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.003.003.1535.71%33.38%33.33%31.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Ole Miss Rebels (Local): 68.20%; Louisville Cardinals (Visitante): 31.80%. Para Louisville Cardinals (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.14. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.15, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.174%.

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.174%E +0.055%K +0.081%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 23:30
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.174%E +0.055%K +0.081%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 21:09
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -6.57%E -4.79%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -0.780%E -0.250%K -0.368%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 23:29
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -1.10%E -0.353%K -0.520%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 23:35
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-06 22:48
BetAnything🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-06 22:55
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.674%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 23:30
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.674%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 23:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.674%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 23:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.674%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 23:29
Caesars🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 23:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 22:20
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 22:20
Unibet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.57%E -4.79%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 23:29
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 23:30
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV -3.64%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-06 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -3.64%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 23:35
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 23:25
Fanatics🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 22:50
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 17:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 08:50
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 23:25
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 23:28
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 19:34
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 19:29
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 16:30
Everygame🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-06 22:55
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 23:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 23:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.20%E -3.74%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 23:29
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 23:35
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.98%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.02%EV -6.82%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 23:30
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.98%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.02%EV -6.82%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 23:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 23:24
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 23:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 23:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -1.79%E -1.25%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 23:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -1.11%E -0.767%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 23:35
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 23:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 23:30
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 23:18
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 23:18
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.64%3.28I 30.49%NM 30.36%0.4%2026-09-06 23:40
ProphetX◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-09-06 23:40
Matchbook◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-09-06 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-09-06 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-09-06 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-09-06 23:40
Kalshi◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-09-06 23:40