默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Ole Miss Rebels v Louisville Cardinals

开赛时间: 2026-09-06 23:45 UTC

最终结果: Ole Miss Rebels 41–38 Louisville Cardinals

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

44 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Ole Miss Rebels (主队)

预测 68.20%1.47公平赔率
EV -1.11%
优势 -0.767%
Kelly -2.47%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.45

博彩公司预测分布
66.28%68.12%68.18%69.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.391.401.4573.53%71.74%71.43%68.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

Louisville Cardinals (客队)

预测 31.80%3.14公平赔率
EV +0.174%
优势 +0.055%
Kelly +0.081%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.15

博彩公司预测分布
30.46%31.88%31.82%33.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.003.003.1535.71%33.38%33.33%31.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Ole Miss Rebels (主队):68.20%;Louisville Cardinals (客队):31.80%。 对于“Louisville Cardinals (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.14。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.15,对应+0.174%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (44 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.174%E +0.055%K +0.081%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 23:30
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.174%E +0.055%K +0.081%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 21:09
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -6.57%E -4.79%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -0.780%E -0.250%K -0.368%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 23:29
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -1.10%E -0.353%K -0.520%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 23:35
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-06 22:48
BetAnything🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-06 22:55
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.674%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 23:30
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.674%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 23:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.674%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 23:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.674%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 23:29
Caesars🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 23:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 22:20
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 22:20
Unibet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.57%E -4.79%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 23:29
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 23:30
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV -3.64%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-06 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -3.64%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 23:35
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 23:25
Fanatics🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 22:50
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 17:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 08:50
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 23:25
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 23:28
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 19:34
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 19:29
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 16:30
Everygame🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-06 22:55
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 23:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 23:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.20%E -3.74%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 23:29
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 23:35
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.98%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.02%EV -6.82%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 23:30
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.98%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.02%EV -6.82%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 23:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 23:24
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 23:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 23:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -1.79%E -1.25%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 23:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -1.11%E -0.767%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 23:35
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 23:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 23:30
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 23:18
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 23:18
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.64%3.28I 30.49%NM 30.36%0.4%2026-09-06 23:40
ProphetX◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-09-06 23:40
Matchbook◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-09-06 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-09-06 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-09-06 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-09-06 23:40
Kalshi◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-09-06 23:40