Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Bearcats v Miami (OH) RedHawks

2026-09-19 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Bearcats (Local)

Prediction 83.25%1.20fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -3.70%
Kelly -28.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.43%83.27%83.45%84.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.141.141.1588.50%87.82%87.72%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miami (OH) RedHawks (Visit)

Prediction 16.75%5.97fair odd
EV +0.490%
Edge +0.082%
Kelly +0.098%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.96%16.73%16.55%18.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.525.486.0020.00%18.12%18.25%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cincinnati Bearcats (Local): 83.25%; Miami (OH) RedHawks (Visit): 16.75%. For Miami (OH) RedHawks (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.97. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.00, producing a positive expected value of +0.490%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.09%E -4.47%K -36.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.490%E +0.082%K +0.098%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 10:45
Fliff🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.04%EV -5.93%E -5.24%K -45.58%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.96%EV -0.347%E -0.058%K -0.070%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 10:50
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.09%E -4.47%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -2.86%E -0.493%K -0.596%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 10:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.09%E -4.47%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.70%E -0.643%K -0.778%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 10:45
Bet Right🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.09%E -4.47%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.70%E -0.643%K -0.778%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 10:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.09%E -4.47%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.70%E -0.643%K -0.778%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 10:55
betfred_uk🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.26%E -3.70%K -28.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.88%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 09:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.09%E -4.47%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.88%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 10:45
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.73%EV -5.09%E -4.47%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.27%EV -8.55%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 10:50
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.73%EV -5.09%E -4.47%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.27%EV -8.55%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 10:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.09%E -4.47%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -9.56%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 10:45
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.93%E -5.24%K -45.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -9.56%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 10:45
ReBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.09%E -4.47%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -11.23%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 14:25
betano_uk🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -5.93%E -5.24%K -45.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -12.91%E -2.48%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 10:49
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.09%E -4.47%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -14.58%E -2.86%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 10:50
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.09%E -4.47%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.26%E -3.25%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 08:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%3.0%2026-09-13 14:40
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 83.97%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.03%9.3%2026-09-13 14:40