Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Bearcats v Miami (OH) RedHawks

Início: 2026-09-19 19:30 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Bearcats 35–31 Miami (OH) RedHawks

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

84%

16%

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Bearcats (Local)

Previsão 83.66%1.20odd justa

EV +0.389%

Vantagem +0.324%

Kelly +1.94%

Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

78.57%83.43%83.57%85.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

1.091.141.141.2091.74%87.95%87.72%83.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Miami (OH) RedHawks (Visitante)

Previsão 16.34%6.12odd justa

EV +2.96%

Vantagem +0.470%

Kelly +0.558%

Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

14.85%16.57%16.43%21.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

4.405.765.756.3022.73%17.36%17.39%15.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cincinnati Bearcats (Local): 83.66%; Miami (OH) RedHawks (Visitante): 16.34%. Para Miami (OH) RedHawks (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.12. 10 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.96%.

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostas	Local	Visitante ▼	Margem	Atualização
FanDuel🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -5.47%E -4.84%K -42.06%G +0.000%	6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV +2.96%E +0.470%K +0.558%G +0.017%	4.4%	2026-09-19 17:44
BetRivers🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.30%E -5.63%K -52.53%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +2.14%E +0.343%K +0.408%G +0.009%	5.3%	2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.30%E -5.63%K -52.53%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +2.14%E +0.343%K +0.408%G +0.009%	5.3%	2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.30%E -5.63%K -52.53%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +2.14%E +0.343%K +0.408%G +0.009%	5.3%	2026-09-19 14:01
Bally Bet🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.30%E -5.63%K -52.53%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +2.14%E +0.343%K +0.408%G +0.009%	5.3%	2026-09-19 14:01
Svenska Spel🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.30%E -5.63%K -52.53%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +2.14%E +0.343%K +0.408%G +0.009%	5.3%	2026-09-19 14:01
betPARX🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.30%E -5.63%K -52.53%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +2.14%E +0.343%K +0.408%G +0.009%	5.3%	2026-09-19 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.30%E -5.63%K -52.53%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +2.14%E +0.343%K +0.408%G +0.009%	5.3%	2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -8.81%E -8.09%K -97.93%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV +2.14%E +0.343%K +0.408%G +0.009%	7.7%	2026-09-19 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -8.81%E -8.09%K -97.93%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV +2.14%E +0.343%K +0.408%G +0.009%	7.7%	2026-09-19 14:01
BetMGM🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.79%E -3.30%K -25.30%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.94%E -0.324%K -0.389%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-09-19 17:44
Betway🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.63%E -4.06%K -33.08%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.94%E -0.324%K -0.389%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-19 17:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.47%E -4.84%K -42.06%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.94%E -0.324%K -0.389%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-19 17:44
theScore Bet🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.30%E -5.63%K -52.53%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.94%E -0.324%K -0.389%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-19 17:50
Fliff🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 84.04%EV -5.47%E -4.84%K -42.06%G +0.000%	5.95I 16.81%NM 15.96%EV -2.76%E -0.464%K -0.558%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-19 19:24
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.63%E -4.06%K -33.08%G +0.000%	5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -3.58%E -0.606%K -0.730%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-19 17:48
Pinnacle🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 83.59%EV -3.79%E -3.30%K -25.30%G +0.000%	5.86I 17.06%NM 16.41%EV -4.23%E -0.722%K -0.871%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-19 18:14
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.63%E -4.06%K -33.08%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.21%E -0.899%K -1.09%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-19 17:44
Coolbet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.63%E -4.06%K -33.08%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.21%E -0.899%K -1.09%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-19 17:59
LowVig.ag🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.79%E -3.30%K -25.30%G +0.000%	5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -5.87%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-19 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.79%E -3.30%K -25.30%G +0.000%	5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -5.87%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-19 15:06
GTbets🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.79%E -3.30%K -25.30%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -6.03%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-19 17:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.63%E -4.06%K -33.08%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.03%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-19 17:59
Bet Right🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.63%E -4.06%K -33.08%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.03%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-19 18:00
Betsson🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.63%E -4.06%K -33.08%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.03%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-19 19:04
Betr (AU)🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.47%E -4.84%K -42.06%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.03%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-19 19:03
NordicBet🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 83.48%EV -5.47%E -4.84%K -42.06%G +0.000%	5.71I 17.51%NM 16.52%EV -6.68%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-13 21:19
DraftKings🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -3.79%E -3.30%K -25.30%G +0.000%	5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -6.85%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-19 17:44
Everygame🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -3.79%E -3.30%K -25.30%G +0.000%	5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -6.85%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-19 15:10
Bovada🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.79%E -3.30%K -25.30%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.48%E -1.51%K -1.84%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-19 17:43
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.63%E -4.06%K -33.08%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -8.48%E -1.51%K -1.84%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-19 19:19
Neds🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.63%E -4.06%K -33.08%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -8.48%E -1.51%K -1.84%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-19 19:19
BetUS🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -2.12%E -1.81%K -12.48%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -10.11%E -1.84%K -2.25%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-19 17:43
BetAnything🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.79%E -3.30%K -25.30%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.11%E -1.84%K -2.25%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-19 15:06
LeoVegas🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.63%E -4.06%K -33.08%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.11%E -1.84%K -2.25%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-19 17:44
Coral🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.30%E -5.63%K -52.53%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.11%E -1.84%K -2.25%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-09-19 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.30%E -5.63%K -52.53%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.11%E -1.84%K -2.25%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-09-19 19:19
SportsBet🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.47%E -4.84%K -42.06%G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -11.75%E -2.18%K -2.67%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-19 17:44
PlayUp🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -2.96%E -2.55%K -18.49%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -14.20%E -2.70%K -3.34%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-19 17:39
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.79%E -3.30%K -25.30%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -14.20%E -2.70%K -3.34%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-19 15:02
TAB🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -2.96%E -2.55%K -18.49%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -18.29%E -3.66%K -4.57%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-19 17:39
betano_uk🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -4.63%E -4.06%K -33.08%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -21.55%E -4.49%K -5.67%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-09-19 19:22
Marathon Bet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV +0.389%E +0.324%K +1.94%G +0.008%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -28.09%E -6.38%K -8.26%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-19 18:04

Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostas	Local	Visitante	Margem ▲	Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%	6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%	0.9%	2026-09-19 17:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%	6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%	0.9%	2026-09-19 17:50
Kalshi◎	1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%	6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%	1.2%	2026-09-14 15:20
ProphetX◎	1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%	6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%	1.4%	2026-09-19 17:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%	6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%	1.4%	2026-09-19 19:24
Matchbook◎	1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%	6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%	1.4%	2026-09-19 18:25