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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Cincinnati Bearcats v Miami (OH) RedHawks

开赛时间： 2026-09-19 19:30 UTC

最终结果： Cincinnati Bearcats 35–31 Miami (OH) RedHawks

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

43 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cincinnati Bearcats (主队)

预测 83.66%1.20公平赔率
EV +0.389%
优势 +0.324%
Kelly +1.94%
增长率 +0.008%

假设最高赔率为 1.20

博彩公司预测分布
78.57%83.43%83.57%85.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.091.141.141.2091.74%87.95%87.72%83.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

Miami (OH) RedHawks (客队)

预测 16.34%6.12公平赔率
EV +2.96%
优势 +0.470%
Kelly +0.558%
增长率 +0.017%

假设最高赔率为 6.30

博彩公司预测分布
14.85%16.57%16.43%21.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.405.765.756.3022.73%17.36%17.39%15.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Cincinnati Bearcats (主队)：83.66%；Miami (OH) RedHawks (客队)：16.34%。 对于“Miami (OH) RedHawks (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.12。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.30，对应+2.96%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (43 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -5.47%E -4.84%K -42.06%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV +2.96%E +0.470%K +0.558%G +0.017%4.4%2026-09-19 17:44
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.30%E -5.63%K -52.53%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +2.14%E +0.343%K +0.408%G +0.009%5.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.30%E -5.63%K -52.53%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +2.14%E +0.343%K +0.408%G +0.009%5.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.30%E -5.63%K -52.53%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +2.14%E +0.343%K +0.408%G +0.009%5.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.30%E -5.63%K -52.53%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +2.14%E +0.343%K +0.408%G +0.009%5.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.30%E -5.63%K -52.53%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +2.14%E +0.343%K +0.408%G +0.009%5.3%2026-09-19 14:01
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.30%E -5.63%K -52.53%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +2.14%E +0.343%K +0.408%G +0.009%5.3%2026-09-19 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.30%E -5.63%K -52.53%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +2.14%E +0.343%K +0.408%G +0.009%5.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -8.81%E -8.09%K -97.93%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV +2.14%E +0.343%K +0.408%G +0.009%7.7%2026-09-19 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -8.81%E -8.09%K -97.93%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV +2.14%E +0.343%K +0.408%G +0.009%7.7%2026-09-19 14:01
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.79%E -3.30%K -25.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.94%E -0.324%K -0.389%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 17:44
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.63%E -4.06%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.94%E -0.324%K -0.389%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 17:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.47%E -4.84%K -42.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.94%E -0.324%K -0.389%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 17:44
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.30%E -5.63%K -52.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.94%E -0.324%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 17:50
Fliff🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.04%EV -5.47%E -4.84%K -42.06%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.96%EV -2.76%E -0.464%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 19:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.63%E -4.06%K -33.08%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -3.58%E -0.606%K -0.730%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 17:48
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.59%EV -3.79%E -3.30%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.41%EV -4.23%E -0.722%K -0.871%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 18:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.63%E -4.06%K -33.08%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.21%E -0.899%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 17:44
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.63%E -4.06%K -33.08%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.21%E -0.899%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 17:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.79%E -3.30%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -5.87%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.79%E -3.30%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -5.87%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 15:06
GTbets🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.79%E -3.30%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -6.03%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 17:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.63%E -4.06%K -33.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.03%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 17:59
Bet Right🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.63%E -4.06%K -33.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.03%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 18:00
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.63%E -4.06%K -33.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.03%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 19:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.47%E -4.84%K -42.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.03%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 19:03
NordicBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.48%EV -5.47%E -4.84%K -42.06%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.52%EV -6.68%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 21:19
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -3.79%E -3.30%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -6.85%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 17:44
Everygame🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -3.79%E -3.30%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -6.85%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 15:10
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.79%E -3.30%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.48%E -1.51%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 17:43
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.63%E -4.06%K -33.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -8.48%E -1.51%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 19:19
Neds🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.63%E -4.06%K -33.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -8.48%E -1.51%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 19:19
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -2.12%E -1.81%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -10.11%E -1.84%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-19 17:43
BetAnything🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.79%E -3.30%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.11%E -1.84%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 15:06
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.63%E -4.06%K -33.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.11%E -1.84%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 17:44
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.30%E -5.63%K -52.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.11%E -1.84%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.30%E -5.63%K -52.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.11%E -1.84%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 19:19
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.47%E -4.84%K -42.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -11.75%E -2.18%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 17:44
PlayUp🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -2.96%E -2.55%K -18.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -14.20%E -2.70%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 17:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.79%E -3.30%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -14.20%E -2.70%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 15:02
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -2.96%E -2.55%K -18.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -18.29%E -3.66%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 17:39
betano_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -4.63%E -4.06%K -33.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -21.55%E -4.49%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 19:22
Marathon Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV +0.389%E +0.324%K +1.94%G +0.008%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -28.09%E -6.38%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 18:04
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-09-19 17:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-09-19 17:50
Kalshi◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-09-14 15:20
ProphetX◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-09-19 17:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-09-19 19:24
Matchbook◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-09-19 18:25