The School of OddsMontreal Alouettes v Calgary Stampeders
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Montreal Alouettes (Local)
Prediction 63.89%1.57fair odd
EV +6.05%
Edge +3.64%
Kelly +9.17%
Growth +0.554%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.91%63.86%64.44%65.88%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.451.521.501.6668.97%65.69%66.67%60.24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Calgary Stampeders (Visit)
Prediction 36.11%2.77fair odd
EV +2.21%
Edge +0.779%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.027%
assuming max odds 2.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.12%36.14%35.56%43.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.142.542.552.8346.73%39.29%39.22%35.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV +6.05%E +3.64%K +9.17%G +0.554% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -19.46%E -8.73%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV +6.05%E +3.64%K +9.17%G +0.554% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -19.46%E -8.73%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV +6.05%E +3.64%K +9.17%G +0.554% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -19.46%E -8.73%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |
| betPARX | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV +6.05%E +3.64%K +9.17%G +0.554% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -19.46%E -8.73%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |
| Bally Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV +4.77%E +2.91%K +7.46%G +0.356% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -21.27%E -9.76%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV +3.49%E +2.16%K +5.64%G +0.197% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -22.71%E -10.61%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |
| Fliff | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -1.62%E -1.05%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -15.13%E -6.44%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |
| BetUS | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.26%E -1.47%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.26%E -1.47%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.26%E -1.47%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 23:00 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.26%E -1.47%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.71%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 22:58 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.05%E -0.381%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.05%E -0.381%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.49%E -0.922%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.49%E -0.922%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| Betsson | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 23:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.71%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.71%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 23:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.49%E -0.922%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| Caesars | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.49%E -0.922%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.71%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.922%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -8.27%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV +2.21%E +0.779%K +1.21%G +0.027% | 3.4% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -0.323%E -0.117%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.49%E -0.922%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| ReBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.92%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.08%EV -13.69%E -5.73%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| Bovada | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +1.12%E +0.401%K +0.623%G +0.007% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.8% | 2026-07-11 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |