La escuela de los momiosMomios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.83
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV +6.05%E +3.64%K +9.17%G +0.554% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -19.46%E -8.73%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV +6.05%E +3.64%K +9.17%G +0.554% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -19.46%E -8.73%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV +6.05%E +3.64%K +9.17%G +0.554% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -19.46%E -8.73%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |
| betPARX | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV +6.05%E +3.64%K +9.17%G +0.554% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -19.46%E -8.73%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |
| Bally Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV +4.77%E +2.91%K +7.46%G +0.356% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -21.27%E -9.76%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV +3.49%E +2.16%K +5.64%G +0.197% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -22.71%E -10.61%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |
| Fliff | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -1.62%E -1.05%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -15.13%E -6.44%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |
| BetUS | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.26%E -1.47%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.26%E -1.47%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.26%E -1.47%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 23:00 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.26%E -1.47%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.71%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 22:58 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.05%E -0.381%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.05%E -0.381%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.49%E -0.922%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.49%E -0.922%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| Betsson | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 23:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.71%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.71%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 23:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.49%E -0.922%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| Caesars | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.49%E -0.922%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.71%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.922%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -8.27%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV +2.21%E +0.779%K +1.21%G +0.027% | 3.4% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -0.323%E -0.117%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.49%E -0.922%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| ReBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.92%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.08%EV -13.69%E -5.73%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
| Bovada | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +1.12%E +0.401%K +0.623%G +0.007% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 22:59 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.8% | 2026-07-11 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |