L’École des cotes

Montreal Alouettes v Calgary Stampeders

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-11 23:06 UTC

Score final : Montreal Alouettes 37–30 Calgary Stampeders

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Montreal Alouettes (Local)

Prévision 63.89%1.57cote équitable
EV +6.05%
Avantage +3.64%
Kelly +9.17%
Croissance +0.554%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.91%63.86%64.44%65.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.521.501.6668.97%65.69%66.67%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Calgary Stampeders (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.11%2.77cote équitable
EV +2.21%
Avantage +0.779%
Kelly +1.21%
Croissance +0.027%

avec la cote maximale 2.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.12%36.14%35.56%43.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.142.542.552.8346.73%39.29%39.22%35.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV +6.05%E +3.64%K +9.17%G +0.554%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -19.46%E -8.73%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 23:04
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV +6.05%E +3.64%K +9.17%G +0.554%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -19.46%E -8.73%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 23:04
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV +6.05%E +3.64%K +9.17%G +0.554%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -19.46%E -8.73%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 23:04
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV +6.05%E +3.64%K +9.17%G +0.554%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -19.46%E -8.73%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 23:04
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV +4.77%E +2.91%K +7.46%G +0.356%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -21.27%E -9.76%K -18.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV +3.49%E +2.16%K +5.64%G +0.197%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -22.71%E -10.61%K -19.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-11 23:04
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -1.62%E -1.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -15.13%E -6.44%K -11.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 23:04
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.26%E -1.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-11 22:59
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.26%E -1.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-11 22:59
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.26%E -1.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 23:00
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.26%E -1.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.71%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 22:59
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 22:59
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 22:58
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.05%E -0.381%K -0.601%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-11 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.05%E -0.381%K -0.601%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-11 22:59
BetAnything1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.49%E -0.922%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-11 22:59
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.49%E -0.922%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-11 22:59
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 22:59
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 23:00
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.71%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 22:59
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.71%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 23:00
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.49%E -0.922%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 22:59
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.49%E -0.922%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 22:59
Betr (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.71%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 22:59
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.922%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 22:59
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 22:59
Dabble (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 22:59
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 22:59
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -8.27%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 23:04
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV +2.21%E +0.779%K +1.21%G +0.027%3.4%2026-07-11 22:59
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -0.323%E -0.117%K -0.183%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 23:04
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.49%E -0.922%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 22:59
ReBet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.92%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.08%EV -13.69%E -5.73%K -9.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-11 22:59
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +1.12%E +0.401%K +0.623%G +0.007%4.7%2026-07-11 22:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-07-11 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%4.7%2026-07-11 23:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%4.7%2026-07-11 23:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%4.7%2026-07-11 23:04