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Shi Han v Leylah Fernandez
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shi Han (Local)
Prediction 26.77%3.74fair odd
EV +4.40%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +1.52%
Growth +0.067%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.42%26.85%26.94%30.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.513.553.9032.79%28.46%28.17%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leylah Fernandez (Visit)
Prediction 73.23%1.37fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.843%
Kelly -3.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.32%73.15%73.06%75.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.301.301.3581.30%77.07%76.92%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shi Han (Local): 26.77%; Leylah Fernandez (Visit): 73.23%. For Shi Han (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.40%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.40%E +1.13%K +1.52%G +0.067% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.73%E -6.13%K -29.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-14 14:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.74%EV +1.19%E +0.314%K +0.426%G +0.005% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.26%EV -4.07%E -3.10%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-14 13:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +0.382%E +0.102%K +0.139%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.80%E -3.69%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-14 14:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.382%E +0.102%K +0.139%G +0.001% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.53%E -4.29%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV +0.115%E +0.031%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -6.26%E -4.89%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-14 14:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -0.956%E -0.258%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.26%E -4.89%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -0.956%E -0.258%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.26%E -4.89%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -0.956%E -0.258%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.26%E -4.89%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -0.956%E -0.258%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.26%E -4.89%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 22:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -0.956%E -0.258%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.26%E -4.89%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 22:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -0.956%E -0.258%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.26%E -4.89%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -0.956%E -0.258%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.26%E -4.89%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -0.956%E -0.258%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.26%E -4.89%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -0.956%E -0.258%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.26%E -4.89%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -0.956%E -0.258%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.26%E -4.89%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -0.956%E -0.258%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.26%E -4.89%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -0.956%E -0.258%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.26%E -4.89%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -0.956%E -0.258%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.26%E -4.89%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -0.956%E -0.258%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.26%E -4.89%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -0.956%E -0.258%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -7.00%E -5.51%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 09:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.29%E -0.629%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.53%E -4.29%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-14 14:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.29%E -0.629%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.73%E -6.13%K -29.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-14 14:03 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.07%E -3.10%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-14 14:03 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.53%E -4.29%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 14:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.53%E -4.29%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 14:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.53%E -4.29%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 14:05 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.26%E -4.89%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-14 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.46%E -6.77%K -33.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-14 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.97%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.80%E -3.69%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-14 14:02 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -4.97%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -9.19%E -7.41%K -38.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-14 14:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.80%E -3.69%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 14:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.80%E -3.69%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.80%E -3.69%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 13:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.80%E -3.69%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 14:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -9.93%E -8.07%K -43.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.20%EV -6.85%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.80%EV -4.80%E -3.69%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-14 14:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%EV -7.11%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -4.07%E -3.10%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.65%E -2.22%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.33%E -2.53%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-14 13:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -7.65%E -2.22%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.07%E -3.10%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 14:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -7.65%E -2.22%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.07%E -3.10%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 14:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.65%E -2.22%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.80%E -3.69%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-14 14:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.99%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.80%E -3.69%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-14 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -9.79%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -1.87%E -1.40%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-14 14:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -9.79%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -1.87%E -1.40%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-14 14:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -10.33%E -3.08%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.60%E -1.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-14 14:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -10.33%E -3.08%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.60%E -1.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-14 14:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.66%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.60%E -1.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 14:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.66%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.60%E -1.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 14:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.66%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.60%E -1.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 14:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -13.00%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.60%E -1.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-14 14:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -13.00%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.60%E -1.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-14 14:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -13.00%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.60%E -1.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-14 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -13.00%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.80%E -3.69%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-14 14:03 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -14.34%E -4.48%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.33%E -2.53%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-14 14:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -14.34%E -4.48%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -4.80%E -3.69%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-14 14:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -14.34%E -4.48%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -4.80%E -3.69%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-14 14:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -14.34%E -4.48%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -4.80%E -3.69%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-14 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -18.36%E -6.02%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -1.14%E -0.843%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-14 14:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -18.36%E -6.02%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -1.14%E -0.843%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-14 14:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-10-14 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-10-14 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 1.2% | 2026-10-14 14:05 |
| Novig◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-10-14 14:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-10-14 14:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 2.6% | 2026-10-14 14:05 |