Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Shi Han v Leylah Fernandez

2026-10-14 04:00 UTC — WTA Wuhan Open

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Shi Han (Local)

Predicción 29.91%3.34momio equitativo
EV +1.70%
Ventaja +0.501%
Kelly +0.709%
Crecimiento +0.012%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.81%29.88%29.82%32.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.193.203.4035.71%31.32%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Leylah Fernandez (Visitante)

Predicción 70.09%1.43momio equitativo
EV -3.28%
Ventaja -2.38%
Kelly -8.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.76%70.12%70.18%72.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.271.331.331.3878.74%74.95%75.19%72.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Shi Han (Local): 29.91%; Leylah Fernandez (Visitante): 70.09%. Para Shi Han (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.34. 15 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.40, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.70%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.70%E +0.501%K +0.709%G +0.012%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 20:14
Virgin Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.70%E +0.501%K +0.709%G +0.012%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 20:14
LiveScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.70%E +0.501%K +0.709%G +0.012%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 20:14
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.70%E +0.501%K +0.709%G +0.012%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 20:14
TABtouch🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.70%E +0.501%K +0.709%G +0.012%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 20:14
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.70%E +0.501%K +0.709%G +0.012%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 20:14
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.70%E +0.501%K +0.709%G +0.012%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 20:14
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.70%E +0.501%K +0.709%G +0.012%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 20:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.70%E +0.501%K +0.709%G +0.012%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 20:14
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.70%E +0.501%K +0.709%G +0.012%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 20:15
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.70%E +0.501%K +0.709%G +0.012%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 20:14
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.70%E +0.501%K +0.709%G +0.012%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 20:14
betPARX🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.70%E +0.501%K +0.709%G +0.012%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 20:14
Bally Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.70%E +0.501%K +0.709%G +0.012%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 20:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV +1.70%E +0.501%K +0.709%G +0.012%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -8.19%E -6.25%K -26.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-12 20:25
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.29%E -0.391%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 17:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.29%E -0.391%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 17:54
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.29%E -0.391%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 17:54
DraftKings🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -1.89%E -0.575%K -0.828%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -6.08%E -4.54%K -17.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 17:54
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.78%E -0.857%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.38%E -3.99%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-12 20:19
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.857%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -8.19%E -6.25%K -26.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-12 20:10
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.28%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-12 17:58
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.28%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-12 20:14
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.28%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.38%E -3.99%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-12 20:14
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.28%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.38%E -3.99%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-12 18:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.28%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.38%E -3.99%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-12 20:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.28%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.08%E -4.54%K -17.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-12 20:20
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.28%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-12 20:13
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.28%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-12 20:10
PMU (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -4.28%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.59%EV -10.99%E -8.65%K -40.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-12 20:14
1xBet🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -5.18%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-12 20:24
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.78%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-12 20:14
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.78%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-12 20:14
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.78%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-12 20:14
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -6.67%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 20:19
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.27%E -2.35%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-12 17:53
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.27%E -2.35%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-12 20:45
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.27%E -2.35%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-12 19:29
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.27%E -2.35%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.08%E -4.54%K -17.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-12 20:14
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.27%E -2.35%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-12 18:34
Unibet (UK)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.77%E -2.87%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.38%E -3.99%K -15.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-12 20:09
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-12 20:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-12 19:29
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-12 19:29
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-12 19:59
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-12 20:00
ReBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 31.21%EV -12.95%E -4.45%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.79%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-12 20:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -13.25%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-12 19:29
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -13.25%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-12 19:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.25%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.72%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-12 20:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.49%EV -14.75%E -5.18%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 68.51%EV -8.19%E -6.25%K -26.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-12 20:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -16.25%E -5.80%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 68.13%EV -8.19%E -6.25%K -26.40%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-12 20:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎3.13I 31.95%NM 29.66%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.34%7.7%2026-10-12 20:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%11.9%2026-10-12 19:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%11.9%2026-10-12 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%11.9%2026-10-12 19:30
Smarkets◎2.80I 35.71%NM 31.71%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.29%12.6%2026-10-12 20:15