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Maria Sakkari v Marta Kostyuk
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maria Sakkari (Local)
Prediction 34.41%2.91fair odd
EV -0.886%
Edge -0.307%
Kelly -0.471%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.94%34.55%34.45%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.742.752.8839.22%36.45%36.36%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Marta Kostyuk (Visit)
Prediction 65.59%1.52fair odd
EV -0.966%
Edge -0.640%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%65.45%65.55%67.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.441.441.5172.46%69.39%69.44%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maria Sakkari (Local): 34.41%; Marta Kostyuk (Visit): 65.59%. For Maria Sakkari (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.88, with an expected value of -0.886%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%EV -0.886%E -0.307%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21%EV -3.59%E -2.44%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.886%E -0.307%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-13 06:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -1.57%E -0.550%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-13 06:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -1.92%E -0.673%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.18%E -5.84%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-13 08:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-13 08:03 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 08:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.18%E -5.84%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-13 06:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.18%E -5.84%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-13 05:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.33%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -5.02%E -1.82%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -5.02%E -1.82%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 06:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 07:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-13 08:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-13 08:03 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-13 08:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-13 07:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-13 06:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -5.70%E -2.08%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-13 05:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-13 05:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.18%E -5.84%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-12 12:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -8.80%E -3.32%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.76%EV -9.49%E -6.88%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -9.15%E -3.46%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -0.966%E -0.640%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-13 04:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -9.15%E -3.46%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -0.966%E -0.640%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-13 04:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.83%E -3.75%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-13 05:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.83%E -3.75%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-13 05:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.62%E -1.08%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 23:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-13 05:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-13 05:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-13 05:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-13 05:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -12.24%E -4.80%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -7.52%E -5.34%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-13 08:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -12.24%E -4.80%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -8.18%E -5.84%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-13 08:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 0.9% | 2026-10-13 08:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 0.9% | 2026-10-13 08:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 0.9% | 2026-10-13 08:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 0.9% | 2026-10-13 07:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.0% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| Novig◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.0% | 2026-10-13 08:05 |