Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Maria Sakkari v Marta Kostyuk

2026-10-13 06:00 UTC — WTA Wuhan Open

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Maria Sakkari (Local)

Predicción 35.06%2.85momio equitativo
EV -1.83%
Ventaja -0.655%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.81%35.12%34.99%36.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.702.702.8040.00%37.04%37.04%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Marta Kostyuk (Visitante)

Predicción 64.94%1.54momio equitativo
EV -1.94%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -3.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.41%64.88%65.01%66.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.381.451.451.5172.46%68.82%68.97%66.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Maria Sakkari (Local): 35.06%; Marta Kostyuk (Visitante): 64.94%. Para Maria Sakkari (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.85. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.80, con un valor esperado de -1.83%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.83%E -0.655%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.89%E -2.63%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-12 13:35
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.83%E -0.655%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 12:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.83%E -0.655%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 12:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.83%E -0.655%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 12:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.83%E -0.655%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 12:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.83%E -0.655%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.14%E -4.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 12:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.83%E -0.655%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.14%E -4.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 12:20
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.83%E -0.655%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.14%E -4.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 12:19
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.83%E -0.655%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.14%E -4.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 12:20
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.83%E -0.655%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.14%E -4.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.83%E -0.655%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.14%E -4.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 12:20
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.83%E -0.655%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.14%E -4.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 12:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.83%E -0.655%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.14%E -4.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 12:20
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.83%E -0.655%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.14%E -4.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 12:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.83%E -0.655%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.14%E -4.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 12:20
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.83%E -0.655%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.14%E -4.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 12:19
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.59%E -1.30%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.19%E -3.55%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 13:49
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.59%E -1.30%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.19%E -3.55%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 13:49
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.59%E -1.30%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.84%E -4.02%K -12.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-12 13:29
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.59%E -1.30%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.84%E -4.02%K -12.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-12 13:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.59%E -1.30%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.84%E -4.02%K -12.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-12 13:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.59%E -1.30%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.14%E -4.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-12 13:48
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -3.94%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -5.84%E -4.02%K -12.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 13:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -4.64%E -1.71%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.24%E -2.17%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-12 14:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -4.64%E -1.71%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.24%E -2.17%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-12 14:09
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.34%E -1.98%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.59%E -1.73%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-12 13:55
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.34%E -1.98%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.89%E -2.63%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-12 14:00
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.34%E -1.98%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.54%E -3.09%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 13:54
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.34%E -1.98%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.84%E -4.02%K -12.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-12 14:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.34%E -1.98%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.84%E -4.02%K -12.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-12 13:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.34%E -1.98%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.84%E -4.02%K -12.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-12 13:39
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.34%E -1.98%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.84%E -4.02%K -12.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-12 13:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.34%E -1.98%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.08%E -6.49%K -22.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-12 12:14
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -6.04%E -2.25%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -3.24%E -2.17%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-12 13:49
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -7.09%E -2.68%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.24%E -2.17%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-12 13:50
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -7.09%E -2.68%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.24%E -2.17%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-12 13:59
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.09%E -2.68%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.14%E -4.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-12 13:39
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -7.09%E -2.68%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.78%E -5.48%K -18.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-12 13:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -7.09%E -2.68%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.76%EV -10.38%E -7.52%K -27.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-12 12:19
ReBet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.14%EV -7.44%E -2.82%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.86%EV -7.14%E -4.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-12 13:49
1xBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -7.79%E -2.96%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -1.94%E -1.28%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-12 13:58
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -8.14%E -3.11%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.59%E -1.73%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-12 13:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.14%E -3.11%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-12 13:25
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.14%E -3.11%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-12 13:29
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.85%E -3.40%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.59%E -1.73%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 13:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.85%E -3.40%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.59%E -1.73%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.85%E -3.40%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.59%E -1.73%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 13:34
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.85%E -3.40%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.59%E -1.73%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 13:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.85%E -3.40%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.24%E -2.17%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 13:49
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.85%E -3.40%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.89%E -2.63%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-12 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.85%E -3.40%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.89%E -2.63%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-12 13:29
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.85%E -3.40%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.19%E -3.55%K -11.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 14:10
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.85%E -3.40%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.84%E -4.02%K -12.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-12 13:58
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.85%E -3.40%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.84%E -4.02%K -12.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-12 13:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -10.60%E -4.16%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -9.08%E -6.49%K -22.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-12 13:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -12.35%E -4.94%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 64.27%EV -9.73%E -7.00%K -24.96%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-12 13:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45%1.2%2026-10-12 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%1.4%2026-10-12 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60%1.6%2026-10-12 14:24
Novig◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.1%2026-10-12 14:14
Smarkets◎2.82I 35.46%NM 34.57%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.43%2.6%2026-10-12 14:05