Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.24
assuming max odds 4.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Katie Volynets (Local): 78.10%; Guo Hanyu (Visit): 21.90%. For Guo Hanyu (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.57. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.94%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV +2.94%E +0.625%K +0.794%G +0.023% | 3.2% | 2026-10-14 06:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.55%EV -3.16%E -2.55%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.45%EV -0.566%E -0.125%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-10-14 07:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.44%E -0.321%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-14 07:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.50%E -4.55%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.44%E -0.321%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-14 06:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.50%E -4.55%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.44%E -0.321%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-14 06:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.50%E -4.55%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.44%E -0.321%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-14 06:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.50%E -4.55%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.44%E -0.321%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-14 07:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.28%E -5.24%K -31.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.44%E -0.321%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-14 07:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.28%E -5.24%K -31.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.63%E -0.826%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-14 07:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.28%E -5.24%K -31.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.63%E -0.826%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-14 06:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.62%E -7.37%K -50.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.63%E -0.826%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-14 07:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.62%E -7.37%K -50.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.63%E -0.826%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-14 07:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -9.41%E -8.11%K -58.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -3.63%E -0.826%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-14 06:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.73%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-14 04:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.16%E -2.55%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.82%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-14 07:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.94%E -3.20%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.82%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-14 04:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.82%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 07:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.82%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 07:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.82%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 06:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.82%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 06:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.82%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 06:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.82%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 06:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.82%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 06:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.82%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 06:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.82%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 06:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.82%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 06:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.82%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 06:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.82%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 06:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.82%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 06:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.82%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 06:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.82%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 06:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.82%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 06:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.50%E -4.55%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.82%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-14 07:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.94%E -3.20%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.48%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-14 06:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.94%E -3.20%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.48%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-14 06:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.94%E -3.20%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.48%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-14 06:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.16%E -2.55%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.92%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-14 07:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.92%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 06:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.92%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 06:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.92%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 06:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 04:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 06:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 06:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 06:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 06:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 06:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 06:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.50%E -4.55%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -10.20%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-14 07:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-14 06:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.72%E -3.87%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-14 05:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.28%E -5.24%K -31.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-14 06:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.28%E -5.24%K -31.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-14 06:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.62%E -7.37%K -50.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-14 06:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.16%E -2.55%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -14.58%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-14 06:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.16%E -2.55%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -14.58%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-14 06:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-10-14 07:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-10-14 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-10-14 07:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-10-14 07:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.89% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 22.11% | 1.9% | 2026-10-14 07:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99% | 3.4% | 2026-10-14 07:20 |