Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Katie Volynets v Guo Hanyu

2026-10-14 06:00 UTC — WTA Wuhan Open

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Katie Volynets (Local)

Predicción 79.19%1.26momio equitativo
EV -1.80%
Ventaja -1.45%
Kelly -7.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.24

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.07%79.15%79.31%81.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.141.191.181.2487.72%84.13%84.75%80.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Guo Hanyu (Visitante)

Predicción 20.81%4.81momio equitativo
EV +1.96%
Ventaja +0.399%
Kelly +0.502%
Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.87%20.85%20.69%22.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.544.604.9025.00%22.02%21.74%20.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Katie Volynets (Local): 79.19%; Guo Hanyu (Visitante): 20.81%. Para Guo Hanyu (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.81. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.90, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.96%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -9.72%E -8.53%K -69.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV +1.96%E +0.399%K +0.502%G +0.010%8.1%2026-10-13 12:05
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.36%EV -5.76%E -4.84%K -30.32%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.64%EV +1.33%E +0.274%K +0.344%G +0.005%4.6%2026-10-13 12:14
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.97%E -4.14%K -24.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -0.123%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-13 13:29
Betsson🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.76%E -4.84%K -30.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.123%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-13 13:30
NordicBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.76%E -4.84%K -30.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.123%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-13 13:28
Virgin Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.55%E -5.55%K -36.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.123%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.55%E -5.55%K -36.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.123%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:54
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.55%E -5.55%K -36.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.123%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:55
Casumo🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.55%E -5.55%K -36.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.123%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.55%E -5.55%K -36.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.123%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.55%E -5.55%K -36.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.123%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:54
Unibet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.55%E -5.55%K -36.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.123%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.55%E -5.55%K -36.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.123%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:55
Grosvenor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.55%E -5.55%K -36.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.123%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:55
TABtouch🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.55%E -5.55%K -36.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.123%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:54
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.55%E -5.55%K -36.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.123%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:52
Svenska Spel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.55%E -5.55%K -36.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.123%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:55
Bally Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.55%E -5.55%K -36.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.123%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:53
ATG (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.55%E -5.55%K -36.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.123%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:55
Pinnacle🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.73%EV -4.18%E -3.45%K -19.89%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.27%EV -0.956%E -0.201%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-13 13:30
SportsBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.76%E -4.84%K -30.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -2.20%E -0.469%K -0.596%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 12:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.76%E -4.84%K -30.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -2.20%E -0.469%K -0.596%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 13:35
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -4.97%E -4.14%K -24.85%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -3.24%E -0.698%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-13 12:59
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.97%E -4.14%K -24.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.29%E -0.932%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-13 13:29
Coolbet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.97%E -4.14%K -24.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.29%E -0.932%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-13 13:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.76%E -4.84%K -30.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.29%E -0.932%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-13 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.76%E -4.84%K -30.32%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -5.33%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-13 13:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.97%E -4.14%K -24.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.37%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 13:39
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.97%E -4.14%K -24.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.37%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 13:00
BetMGM🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.76%E -4.84%K -30.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.37%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-13 13:39
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.55%E -5.55%K -36.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.45%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-13 13:29
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.55%E -5.55%K -36.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.45%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-13 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.55%E -5.55%K -36.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.45%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-13 13:39
ReBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.34%E -6.28%K -43.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -8.45%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-13 13:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.42%EV -9.72%E -8.53%K -69.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -8.45%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-13 11:55
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.55%E -5.55%K -36.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -9.90%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 13:40
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.55%E -5.55%K -36.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -9.90%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 13:40
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -1.80%E -1.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -10.53%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-13 13:30
LeoVegas🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -6.55%E -5.55%K -36.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -10.53%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-13 13:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.39%E -2.77%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -11.57%E -2.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-13 13:24
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.39%E -2.77%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -11.57%E -2.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-13 13:29
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.39%E -2.77%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.61%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-13 13:29
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.39%E -2.77%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.61%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-13 13:29
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.39%E -2.77%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.61%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-13 13:24
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.97%E -4.14%K -24.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.61%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-13 13:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -8.14%E -7.01%K -50.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.61%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-13 13:28
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.39%E -2.77%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -14.69%E -3.58%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-13 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.39%E -2.77%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -14.69%E -3.58%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-13 13:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 77.95%EV -8.14%E -7.01%K -50.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -14.69%E -3.58%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-13 13:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -8.93%E -7.76%K -59.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -16.77%E -4.19%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-13 13:33
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%2.4%2026-10-13 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%2.4%2026-10-13 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%2.4%2026-10-13 13:35
Smarkets◎1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%2.8%2026-10-13 13:50
Novig◎1.21I 82.64%NM 79.73%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.27%3.7%2026-10-13 13:50