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Karolina Muchova v Caty McNally
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Karolina Muchova (Local)
Prediction 78.60%1.27fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -7.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.25%78.57%78.64%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.211.211.2586.96%82.96%82.64%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Caty McNally (Visit)
Prediction 21.40%4.67fair odd
EV +7.02%
Edge +1.40%
Kelly +1.75%
Growth +0.123%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.70%21.43%21.36%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.354.405.0027.03%22.97%22.73%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karolina Muchova (Local): 78.60%; Caty McNally (Visit): 21.40%. For Caty McNally (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.67. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.02%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.61%E -8.36%K -64.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +7.02%E +1.40%K +1.75%G +0.123% | 7.0% | 2026-10-14 05:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +4.88%E +0.995%K +1.25%G +0.061% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 04:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.10%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.90%EV +4.23%E +0.869%K +1.09%G +0.046% | 3.2% | 2026-10-14 05:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.47%E -5.44%K -34.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +2.74%E +0.570%K +0.720%G +0.020% | 4.9% | 2026-10-14 05:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +2.74%E +0.570%K +0.720%G +0.020% | 5.6% | 2026-10-14 05:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV +0.596%E +0.127%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 3.2% | 2026-10-14 03:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.07%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.93%EV -2.19%E -0.478%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-14 04:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -3.47%E -0.770%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 23:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -3.47%E -0.770%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 23:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.68%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-12 20:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.68%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-14 03:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.68%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-14 03:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.68%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-13 22:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.68%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-14 03:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.68%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-14 04:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.68%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 10:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.68%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-14 05:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.68%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-14 04:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-14 05:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 22:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 22:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 22:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 22:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 22:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 22:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 22:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 22:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 22:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 22:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 22:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 22:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 22:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-14 05:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-14 04:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.97%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 19:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -7.97%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-14 04:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.97%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-14 05:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.97%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-14 05:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -7.97%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-14 05:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -9.04%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-13 17:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 05:08 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 05:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 05:08 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 05:08 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-13 16:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-13 23:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-13 17:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-13 22:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-13 17:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-13 19:02 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-14 05:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -16.53%E -4.24%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-14 05:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.92%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -16.53%E -4.24%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-14 03:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -1.75%E -1.40%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -18.67%E -4.91%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-13 17:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -1.75%E -1.40%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -18.67%E -4.91%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-13 17:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.51%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -20.81%E -5.62%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-14 05:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.61% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.39% | 0.5% | 2026-10-14 04:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.97% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 20.03% | 0.8% | 2026-10-14 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-10-14 05:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-10-14 05:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-10-14 05:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-10-14 05:05 |