Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Karolina Muchova v Caty McNally

2026-10-14 04:00 UTC — WTA Wuhan Open

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Prediction 77.69%1.29fair odd
EV -3.67%
Edge -2.96%
Kelly -15.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.16%77.49%77.70%79.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.221.221.2485.47%82.20%81.97%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Caty McNally (Visit)

Prediction 22.31%4.48fair odd
EV +1.76%
Edge +0.385%
Kelly +0.493%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 4.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.77%22.51%22.30%24.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.194.254.5627.78%23.89%23.53%21.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Karolina Muchova (Local): 77.69%; Caty McNally (Visit): 22.31%. For Caty McNally (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.48. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.56, producing a positive expected value of +1.76%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.76%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.24%EV +1.76%E +0.385%K +0.493%G +0.009%3.2%2026-10-12 15:40
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.33%E -7.06%K -46.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +0.417%E +0.093%K +0.119%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 16:14
DraftKings🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.37%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.63%EV -1.37%E -0.309%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-12 15:25
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.81%E -0.412%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 15:29
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -6.00%E -4.96%K -28.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -3.38%E -0.780%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-12 15:24
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.38%E -0.780%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-12 15:25
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.05%E -0.941%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-12 16:09
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.05%E -0.941%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 16:04
Fanatics🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.05%E -0.941%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 15:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.05%E -0.941%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 16:00
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.05%E -0.941%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.05%E -0.941%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 16:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.05%E -0.941%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 16:00
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.05%E -0.941%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 16:00
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.05%E -0.941%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 16:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.05%E -0.941%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 16:00
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.05%E -0.941%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 16:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.05%E -0.941%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 15:59
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.05%E -0.941%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 16:00
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.05%E -0.941%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 15:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.05%E -0.941%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 16:00
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.05%E -0.941%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 16:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.05%E -0.941%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 16:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.33%E -7.06%K -46.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -4.05%E -0.941%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-12 16:09
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.16%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-12 15:28
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.16%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 15:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.16%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 15:59
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.16%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 15:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.16%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 16:00
Betsson🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.28%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 16:05
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.28%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 16:03
Winamax (DE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.45%E -3.62%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.28%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 16:04
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.28%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-12 15:29
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.28%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-12 15:24
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.28%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-12 15:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.28%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-12 15:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.28%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-12 15:29
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.28%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-12 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.28%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-12 15:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -7.39%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-12 15:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.51%E -2.08%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-12 16:23
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.74%E -2.69%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.67%E -2.96%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.74%E -2.69%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 15:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.74%E -2.69%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 16:04
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.74%E -2.69%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 15:25
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.74%E -2.69%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 20:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -9.11%E -7.79%K -53.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -10.74%E -2.69%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-12 15:59
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -11.86%E -3.00%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-12 15:35
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.32%E -4.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-12 16:12
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.22%E -4.28%K -23.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.32%E -4.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-12 16:08
ReBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -6.78%E -5.65%K -33.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -16.32%E -4.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-12 16:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.41%EV -7.55%E -6.35%K -39.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.59%EV -18.55%E -5.08%K -7.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-12 16:03
Unibet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.16%EV -7.55%E -6.35%K -39.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -19.67%E -5.46%K -7.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-12 16:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-10-12 19:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-10-12 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-10-12 19:24
Novig◎1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%6.3%2026-10-12 18:09
Smarkets◎1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%7.6%2026-10-12 17:34