Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Karolina Muchova v Caty McNally

2026-10-14 04:00 UTC — WTA Wuhan Open

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Predicción 77.78%1.29momio equitativo
EV -3.55%
Ventaja -2.86%
Kelly -14.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.24

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.57%77.75%77.80%79.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.171.211.221.2485.47%82.40%81.97%80.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Caty McNally (Visitante)

Predicción 22.22%4.50momio equitativo
EV +2.20%
Ventaja +0.478%
Kelly +0.611%
Crecimiento +0.013%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.28%22.25%22.20%24.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.654.234.304.6027.40%23.65%23.26%21.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Karolina Muchova (Local): 77.78%; Caty McNally (Visitante): 22.22%. Para Caty McNally (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.50. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.60, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +2.20%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.88%E -4.86%K -28.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +2.20%E +0.478%K +0.611%G +0.013%4.4%2026-10-12 20:29
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.99%E -7.69%K -52.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +2.20%E +0.478%K +0.611%G +0.013%7.2%2026-10-12 20:29
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.76%EV -4.33%E -3.52%K -18.82%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.24%EV +1.31%E +0.288%K +0.369%G +0.005%3.2%2026-10-12 15:40
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.021%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-12 20:29
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.021%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 20:29
DraftKings🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.37%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.63%EV -1.80%E -0.407%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-12 15:25
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -5.88%E -4.86%K -28.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -3.80%E -0.877%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-12 15:24
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.55%E -2.86%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-12 16:09
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 20:24
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 20:29
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 16:04
Fanatics🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 15:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 20:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 16:00
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 16:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 16:00
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 16:00
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 16:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 16:00
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 16:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 15:59
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 16:00
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 15:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 16:00
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 16:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 16:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.88%E -4.86%K -28.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-12 20:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.22%E -6.96%K -45.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-12 16:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.58%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 15:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.58%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 15:59
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.58%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 15:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.58%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 16:00
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-12 15:29
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-12 15:24
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-12 15:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-12 20:28
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-12 15:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-12 15:29
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-12 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-12 15:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.88%E -4.86%K -28.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 20:24
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.55%E -2.86%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.55%E -2.86%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 15:24
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 15:25
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 20:04
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-12 20:25
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-12 20:34
betano_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-12 20:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.99%E -7.69%K -52.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-12 15:59
ReBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -7.44%E -6.25%K -39.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -14.46%E -3.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-12 20:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -8.22%E -6.96%K -45.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -16.68%E -4.45%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-12 20:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%EV -8.22%E -6.96%K -45.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43%EV -18.91%E -5.18%K -7.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-12 20:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%4.7%2026-10-12 20:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%4.7%2026-10-12 20:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%4.7%2026-10-12 20:45
Novig◎1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.14%6.6%2026-10-12 20:25
Smarkets◎1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%7.6%2026-10-12 17:34