Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.35
assuming max odds 3.65
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iva Jović (Local): 72.52%; Maja Chwalinska (Visit): 27.48%. For Maja Chwalinska (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.293%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -5.00%E -3.81%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +0.293%E +0.080%K +0.110%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-14 16:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.04%EV -2.82%E -2.10%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.96%EV -0.257%E -0.071%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-10-15 01:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%EV -6.45%E -5.00%K -22.23%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -0.532%E -0.147%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-15 02:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.45%E -5.00%K -22.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.08%E -0.300%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 10:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.00%E -3.81%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.46%E -0.692%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-15 02:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-15 05:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 09:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.27%E -3.23%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -4.10%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-14 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.27%E -3.23%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -4.10%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-14 18:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -5.00%E -3.81%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -4.93%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-15 04:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.27%E -3.23%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-14 23:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.00%E -3.81%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 09:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.00%E -3.81%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 09:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.00%E -3.81%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-15 06:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-15 06:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-15 01:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-15 05:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.27%E -3.23%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -6.03%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-14 22:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.54%E -2.67%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-15 05:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.27%E -3.23%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.00%E -3.81%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-14 20:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-14 21:14 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-15 04:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-14 20:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-14 20:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-14 20:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-14 20:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-14 20:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-14 20:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-14 20:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-14 20:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-14 20:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-14 20:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-14 20:13 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-14 20:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-14 20:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-14 20:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.17%E -5.60%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-14 21:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.90%E -6.22%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-15 06:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.90%E -6.22%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-14 09:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.03%EV -2.09%E -1.55%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.97%EV -9.05%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-15 04:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.18%EV -2.82%E -2.10%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.82%EV -9.05%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-15 05:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.54%E -2.67%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 22:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.54%E -2.67%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 22:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.54%E -2.67%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 22:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.54%E -2.67%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 22:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-14 12:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -3.54%E -2.67%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -9.87%E -3.01%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-15 06:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.54%E -2.67%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-15 04:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-14 08:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-14 08:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-15 04:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-15 04:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.75%EV -8.62%E -6.84%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-14 20:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -7.17%E -5.60%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -13.45%E -4.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-14 11:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -2.09%E -1.55%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-15 04:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -2.09%E -1.55%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-15 04:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.98% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02% | 0.0% | 2026-10-15 06:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.98% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02% | 0.0% | 2026-10-15 06:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.98% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02% | 0.0% | 2026-10-15 06:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 0.9% | 2026-10-15 05:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.0% | 2026-10-15 06:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29% | 2.6% | 2026-10-15 06:10 |