Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Iva Jović v Maja Chwalinska

2026-10-15 04:00 UTC — WTA Wuhan Open

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Iva Jović (Local)

Predicción 72.09%1.39momio equitativo
EV -1.96%
Ventaja -1.44%
Kelly -5.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.61%72.08%72.19%73.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.261.301.301.3679.37%76.63%76.92%73.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Maja Chwalinska (Visitante)

Predicción 27.91%3.58momio equitativo
EV +0.474%
Ventaja +0.132%
Kelly +0.182%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.38%27.92%27.81%29.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.153.373.403.6031.75%29.70%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Iva Jović (Local): 72.09%; Maja Chwalinska (Visitante): 27.91%. Para Maja Chwalinska (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.58. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.60, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.474%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.00%E -5.43%K -24.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +0.474%E +0.132%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.3%2026-10-14 10:50
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -0.364%E -0.102%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 09:39
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.56%E -4.25%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -0.922%E -0.260%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-14 09:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.56%E -4.25%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.32%E -0.662%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 10:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.32%E -0.662%K -0.927%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-14 11:40
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.32%E -0.662%K -0.927%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-14 14:35
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.32%E -0.662%K -0.927%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-14 09:39
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.56%E -4.25%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-14 09:40
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.56%E -4.25%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-14 09:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.56%E -4.25%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-14 09:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-14 09:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-14 09:35
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-14 09:35
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-14 09:35
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-14 09:35
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-14 09:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-14 09:34
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-14 09:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-14 09:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-14 09:34
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-14 09:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-14 09:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-14 09:34
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-14 09:34
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.84%E -3.67%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -4.55%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 08:09
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.56%E -4.25%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-14 09:40
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.56%E -4.25%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-14 14:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-14 09:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.44%E -6.65%K -31.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-14 09:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.56%E -4.25%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-14 09:40
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.18%EV -3.40%E -2.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.82%EV -7.62%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 08:35
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-14 08:05
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-14 08:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-14 08:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-14 08:05
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.56%E -4.25%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-14 09:44
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-14 12:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.72%E -6.03%K -27.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-14 14:35
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.77%EV -7.00%E -5.43%K -24.15%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.23%EV -8.46%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-14 09:39
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.63%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.37%EV -8.74%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-14 10:09
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-14 09:40
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-14 10:25
picklebet_au🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-14 09:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -9.17%E -7.27%K -35.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-14 09:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -3.40%E -2.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -10.13%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-14 10:05
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-14 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-14 14:30
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-14 08:04
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-14 08:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -7.72%E -6.03%K -27.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -12.09%E -3.84%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-14 11:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -7.72%E -6.03%K -27.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -12.09%E -3.84%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-14 09:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.27%EV -8.44%E -6.65%K -31.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -12.09%E -3.84%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 09:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎1.33I 75.19%NM 73.92%3.77I 26.53%NM 26.08%1.7%2026-10-14 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%3.4%2026-10-14 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%3.4%2026-10-14 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%3.4%2026-10-14 12:25
Smarkets◎1.29I 77.52%NM 46.47%1.12I 89.29%NM 53.53%66.8%2026-10-14 14:25