Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.31
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iva Jović (Local): 74.31%; Dayana Yastremska (Visit): 25.69%. For Dayana Yastremska (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.75%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.11%E -5.69%K -28.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.75%E +0.687%K +0.916%G +0.025% | 5.0% | 2026-10-14 04:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.11%E -5.69%K -28.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.75%E +0.687%K +0.916%G +0.025% | 5.0% | 2026-10-14 04:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.11%E -5.69%K -28.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.75%E +0.687%K +0.916%G +0.025% | 5.0% | 2026-10-14 04:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.88%E -3.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +0.179%E +0.046%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-13 22:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.53%EV -6.37%E -5.05%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.47%EV -0.078%E -0.020%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-14 04:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.62%E -4.43%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.11%E -0.287%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-14 03:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.62%E -4.43%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.39%E -0.629%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 23:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.62%E -4.43%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.39%E -0.629%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 22:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.62%E -4.43%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.39%E -0.629%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-14 03:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -9.34%E -7.65%K -42.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -2.39%E -0.629%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-14 04:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -9.34%E -7.65%K -42.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -2.39%E -0.629%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-13 19:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.67%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-13 21:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.67%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-14 04:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.62%E -4.43%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.67%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 22:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.11%E -5.69%K -28.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.67%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-13 17:58 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.11%E -5.69%K -28.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.67%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-14 04:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.85%E -6.33%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -3.67%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-14 04:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-14 04:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.62%E -4.43%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 04:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.65%E -2.02%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-14 04:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 04:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 22:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.88%E -3.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-14 04:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-13 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-13 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-13 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-13 22:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-14 04:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-13 22:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.39%E -2.61%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.10%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 04:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.39%E -2.61%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.10%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 04:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.39%E -2.61%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.10%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 04:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.11%E -5.69%K -28.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.10%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-13 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.11%E -5.69%K -28.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.10%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-13 22:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.39%E -2.61%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.39%E -2.61%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -12.66%E -3.72%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-14 04:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.39%E -2.61%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -12.66%E -3.72%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-14 04:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.66%E -3.72%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-13 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.39%E -2.61%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.95%E -4.16%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-13 22:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.39%E -2.61%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.95%E -4.16%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-13 22:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.83%EV -7.11%E -5.69%K -28.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -13.95%E -4.16%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.39%E -2.61%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -15.23%E -4.62%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-14 04:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -16.52%E -5.08%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-14 04:58 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.71%EV -9.34%E -7.65%K -42.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -16.52%E -5.08%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-14 04:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-10-14 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-10-14 04:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-10-14 04:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-10-14 04:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.10% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.90% | 2.4% | 2026-10-14 04:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 3.1% | 2026-10-14 04:55 |