Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Iva Jović v Dayana Yastremska

2026-10-14 04:10 UTC — WTA Wuhan Open

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Iva Jović (Local)

Predicción 78.36%1.28momio equitativo
EV -3.62%
Ventaja -2.94%
Kelly -15.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.46%78.35%78.43%80.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.161.201.211.2386.21%83.12%82.64%81.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Dayana Yastremska (Visitante)

Predicción 21.64%4.62momio equitativo
EV +6.03%
Ventaja +1.23%
Kelly +1.55%
Crecimiento +0.093%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.41%21.65%21.57%23.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.804.344.404.9026.32%23.03%22.73%20.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Iva Jović (Local): 78.36%; Dayana Yastremska (Visitante): 21.64%. Para Dayana Yastremska (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.62. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.90, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +6.03%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.53%E -6.38%K -41.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +6.03%E +1.23%K +1.55%G +0.093%5.2%2026-10-13 11:39
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.75%E -5.67%K -35.52%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +4.95%E +1.02%K +1.28%G +0.064%4.7%2026-10-13 11:39
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%EV -5.18%E -4.28%K -24.68%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%EV -1.55%E -0.340%K -0.435%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-13 17:14
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.40%E -3.61%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.63%E -0.584%K -0.751%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-13 16:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.18%E -4.28%K -24.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.63%E -0.584%K -0.751%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-13 15:50
Betsson🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.18%E -4.28%K -24.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.63%E -0.584%K -0.751%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-13 16:04
NordicBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.18%E -4.28%K -24.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.63%E -0.584%K -0.751%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-13 16:05
Coolbet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.18%E -4.28%K -24.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.63%E -0.584%K -0.751%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-13 17:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.97%E -4.97%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.63%E -0.584%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:40
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.97%E -4.97%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.63%E -0.584%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 16:09
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.32%E -7.11%K -48.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.63%E -0.584%K -0.751%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-13 09:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -9.10%E -7.85%K -56.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -2.63%E -0.584%K -0.751%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-13 11:40
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.97%E -4.97%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -3.71%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-13 16:14
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.19%EV -3.62%E -2.94%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.81%EV -4.57%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-13 15:54
Unibet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.18%E -4.28%K -24.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.79%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-13 15:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.18%E -4.28%K -24.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.79%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-13 15:50
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.18%E -4.28%K -24.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.79%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-13 15:50
Casumo🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.18%E -4.28%K -24.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.79%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-13 15:50
Grosvenor🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.18%E -4.28%K -24.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.79%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-13 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.18%E -4.28%K -24.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.79%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-13 15:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.18%E -4.28%K -24.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.79%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-13 15:49
TABtouch🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.18%E -4.28%K -24.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.79%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-13 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.18%E -4.28%K -24.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.79%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-13 15:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.18%E -4.28%K -24.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.79%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-13 15:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.18%E -4.28%K -24.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.79%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-13 15:50
Bally Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.18%E -4.28%K -24.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.79%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-13 15:50
betPARX🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.18%E -4.28%K -24.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.79%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-13 15:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.18%E -4.28%K -24.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.79%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-13 15:49
Fanatics🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.18%E -4.28%K -24.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.79%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-13 17:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.97%E -4.97%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.79%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-13 16:04
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.97%E -4.97%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.79%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-13 12:20
PlayUp🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.97%E -4.97%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.79%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-13 17:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.18%E -4.28%K -24.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.87%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 15:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.18%E -4.28%K -24.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 17:10
ReBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.75%E -5.67%K -35.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-13 16:15
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.40%E -3.61%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -8.04%E -1.89%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-13 17:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.40%E -3.61%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -8.04%E -1.89%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-13 17:29
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.40%E -3.61%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-13 08:29
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.40%E -3.61%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-13 08:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.40%E -3.61%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-13 08:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.40%E -3.61%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-13 08:49
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.53%E -6.38%K -41.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-13 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.53%E -6.38%K -41.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-13 12:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 77.95%EV -9.10%E -7.85%K -56.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-13 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.40%E -3.61%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.45%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-13 12:20
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.40%E -3.61%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.45%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-13 12:19
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.97%E -4.97%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.45%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-13 15:50
betano_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.97%E -4.97%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.45%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-13 15:48
Betclic (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.53%E -6.38%K -41.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.45%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-13 16:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.32%E -7.11%K -48.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -13.45%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-13 11:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.46%EV -8.32%E -7.11%K -48.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -17.77%E -4.68%K -6.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-13 16:03
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-10-13 16:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-10-13 16:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-10-13 16:45
Novig◎1.23I 81.30%NM 78.72%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.28%3.3%2026-10-13 17:40
Smarkets◎1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%6.3%2026-10-13 16:15