The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
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Elina Svitolina v Sonay Kartal

Kickoff: 2026-10-16 05:11 UTC

Final: Elina Svitolina 1–2 Sonay Kartal

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Prediction 65.45%1.53fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -3.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%65.35%65.48%66.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.451.451.5072.99%68.97%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sonay Kartal (Visit)

Prediction 34.55%2.89fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.65%34.65%34.52%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.722.752.8040.00%36.82%36.36%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elina Svitolina (Local): 65.45%; Sonay Kartal (Visit): 34.55%. For Elina Svitolina (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.50, with an expected value of -1.83%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.83%E -1.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.26%E -1.16%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-16 02:40
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.83%E -1.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 04:05
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.83%E -1.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 04:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.83%E -1.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 04:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.83%E -1.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 04:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -2.48%E -1.66%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -4.29%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-16 05:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -2.48%E -1.66%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -4.29%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-16 05:00
BetAnything🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.48%E -1.66%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.71%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-16 05:00
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.79%E -2.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.26%E -1.16%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-15 23:39
1xBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -3.79%E -2.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -4.29%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 04:40
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.79%E -2.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 05:03
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.79%E -2.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.71%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 04:04
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.44%E -3.04%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -4.64%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 05:00
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.44%E -3.04%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 20:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.44%E -3.04%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 20:55
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.44%E -3.04%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-16 02:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.10%E -3.52%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.26%E -1.16%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 01:20
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.10%E -3.52%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.26%E -1.16%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 01:20
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.10%E -3.52%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.26%E -1.16%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 01:20
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.10%E -3.52%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.26%E -1.16%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 19:45
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.10%E -3.52%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.95%E -1.42%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 03:30
ReBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.10%E -3.52%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.95%E -1.42%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 03:35
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.10%E -3.52%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 02:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.10%E -3.52%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 20:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.10%E -3.52%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 20:30
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.10%E -3.52%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 20:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.10%E -3.52%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 13:50
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.10%E -3.52%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 20:50
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.10%E -3.52%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 05:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -5.10%E -3.52%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -5.33%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 05:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -5.10%E -3.52%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -5.68%E -2.08%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-16 04:35
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.10%E -3.52%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.71%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-16 04:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.10%E -3.52%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.71%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-16 05:00
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.10%E -3.52%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.71%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-16 05:00
picklebet_au🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.75%E -4.00%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-16 03:30
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.75%E -4.00%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 19:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.75%E -4.00%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-16 01:20
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.75%E -4.00%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 20:30
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.75%E -4.00%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 20:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.75%E -4.00%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 20:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.75%E -4.00%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 20:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.75%E -4.00%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 20:29
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.75%E -4.00%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 20:30
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.75%E -4.00%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 20:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.75%E -4.00%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 20:30
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.75%E -4.00%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 20:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.75%E -4.00%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 20:30
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.75%E -4.00%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 20:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.75%E -4.00%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 19:45
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.75%E -4.00%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.75%E -4.00%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.48%E -3.62%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 20:55
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.75%E -4.00%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.48%E -3.62%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 20:55
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.75%E -4.00%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 23:59
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.75%E -4.00%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 23:58
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.06%E -4.97%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.26%E -1.16%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-16 01:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -8.37%E -5.98%K -20.93%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -9.13%E -3.47%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-15 20:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -8.37%E -5.98%K -20.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -11.90%E -4.66%K -7.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-16 01:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -10.33%E -7.54%K -27.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -6.71%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-16 04:58
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.60%EV -10.33%E -7.54%K -27.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.40%EV -13.62%E -5.45%K -9.08%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-16 05:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-10-16 05:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-10-16 05:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-10-16 05:05
ProphetX◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-10-16 05:05
Novig◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02%1.3%2026-10-16 05:00
Smarkets◎1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-10-16 05:05