Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Elina Svitolina v Sonay Kartal

2026-10-16 04:30 UTC — WTA Wuhan Open

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Predicción 64.26%1.56momio equitativo
EV -1.68%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -3.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.77%64.28%64.20%65.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.461.451.5371.43%68.35%68.97%65.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sonay Kartal (Visitante)

Predicción 35.74%2.80momio equitativo
EV -1.71%
Ventaja -0.622%
Kelly -0.978%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.52%35.72%35.80%37.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.652.652.7541.67%37.71%37.74%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Elina Svitolina (Local): 64.26%; Sonay Kartal (Visitante): 35.74%. Para Elina Svitolina (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.56. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.53, con un valor esperado de -1.68%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -1.68%E -1.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -7.79%E -3.02%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-15 12:00
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.61%E -2.41%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-15 13:40
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -3.61%E -2.41%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -5.64%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-15 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.61%E -2.41%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.00%E -2.28%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 12:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.61%E -2.41%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 11:50
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.61%E -2.41%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 11:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.61%E -2.41%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 12:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.61%E -2.41%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -3.61%E -2.41%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -8.14%E -3.17%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.61%E -2.41%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.65%E -4.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-15 13:15
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.25%E -2.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -4.21%E -1.57%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-15 11:54
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.25%E -2.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 11:55
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.25%E -2.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 11:55
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.57%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 11:55
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 13:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 11:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 11:55
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.54%E -3.77%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.50%E -1.30%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 13:49
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.54%E -3.77%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.50%E -1.30%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 11:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.54%E -3.77%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.50%E -1.30%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 11:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.54%E -3.77%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.50%E -1.30%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 11:55
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.54%E -3.77%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.50%E -1.30%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 11:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.54%E -3.77%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.50%E -1.30%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 11:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.54%E -3.77%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.50%E -1.30%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -5.54%E -3.77%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -4.57%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 13:15
picklebet_au🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -5.54%E -3.77%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -10.65%E -4.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-15 11:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -6.18%E -4.23%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -1.71%E -0.622%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-15 13:50
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -6.18%E -4.23%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -1.71%E -0.622%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-15 13:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.18%E -4.23%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 13:50
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.18%E -4.23%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 13:50
ReBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.50%EV -6.18%E -4.23%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.50%EV -9.22%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 11:55
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.71%E -0.622%K -0.978%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.71%E -0.622%K -0.978%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 13:50
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.71%E -0.622%K -0.978%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.71%E -0.622%K -0.978%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 13:50
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.71%E -0.622%K -0.978%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 13:50
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.71%E -0.622%K -0.978%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 13:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.71%E -0.622%K -0.978%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 13:50
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.71%E -0.622%K -0.978%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 13:50
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.71%E -0.622%K -0.978%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 13:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.50%E -1.30%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 13:30
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.50%E -1.30%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 13:30
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-15 13:48
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-15 13:48
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.86%E -3.47%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-15 11:55
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.47%E -5.19%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.36%E -2.43%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.47%E -5.19%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.36%E -2.43%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 13:50
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.47%E -5.19%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.36%E -2.43%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 13:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -7.47%E -5.19%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.83%EV -11.72%E -4.74%K -7.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-15 11:54
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -8.11%E -5.67%K -18.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 11:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.14%EV -8.11%E -5.67%K -18.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.86%EV -12.43%E -5.07%K -8.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-15 11:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83%EV -8.75%E -6.16%K -20.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -14.22%E -5.93%K -10.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-15 11:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -10.04%E -7.17%K -25.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-15 13:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-10-15 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-10-15 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-10-15 13:40
Novig◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40%1.6%2026-10-15 13:40
Smarkets◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%1.8%2026-10-15 13:40