Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yulia Putintseva v Tatjana Maria

Kickoff: 2026-06-29 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yulia Putintseva (Local)

Prediction 33.40%2.99fair odd
EV +8.55%
Edge +2.63%
Kelly +3.80%
Growth +0.325%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.73%33.42%33.73%40.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.912.853.2543.48%34.33%35.09%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tatjana Maria (Visit)

Prediction 66.60%1.50fair odd
EV +5.90%
Edge +3.71%
Kelly +9.99%
Growth +0.589%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.13%66.58%66.27%71.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.391.381.5976.92%71.73%72.73%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yulia Putintseva (Local): 33.40%; Tatjana Maria (Visit): 66.60%. For Yulia Putintseva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. 26 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.55%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -23.18%E -10.08%K -17.83%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV +5.90%E +3.71%K +9.99%G +0.589%6.4%2026-06-29 12:17
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -14.83%E -5.82%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV +2.57%E +1.67%K +4.75%G +0.122%4.2%2026-06-29 12:19
1xBet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 34.64%EV -5.48%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.36%EV -0.098%E -0.065%K -0.196%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-29 12:09
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -0.098%E -0.065%K -0.196%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 12:10
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -11.49%E -4.34%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -1.43%E -0.966%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 12:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -6.48%E -2.32%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.10%E -1.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 12:11
Pinnacle🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%EV -6.82%E -2.44%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.49%EV -2.10%E -1.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 12:11
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -2.10%E -1.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 11:59
BetAnything🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -2.10%E -1.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -2.76%E -1.89%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 12:10
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -2.76%E -1.89%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 12:09
GTbets🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%EV -5.82%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%EV -3.43%E -2.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 12:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.48%E -2.32%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.43%E -2.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 12:13
MyBookie.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.48%E -2.32%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.43%E -2.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 12:19
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.43%E -2.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 12:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -8.49%E -3.10%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -3.43%E -2.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 12:10
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.43%E -2.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.43%E -2.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:10
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -13.16%E -5.06%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -3.43%E -2.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 12:19
SportsBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV -6.82%E -2.44%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.96%EV -4.09%E -2.84%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 12:14
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.09%E -2.84%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:11
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.09%E -2.84%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:07
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.09%E -2.84%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.09%E -2.84%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 12:10
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.48%E -2.32%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.76%E -3.33%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 12:07
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.76%E -3.33%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 12:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.81%E -1.69%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.43%E -3.82%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 12:20
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.48%E -2.32%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.43%E -3.82%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 12:20
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.81%E -1.69%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 12:20
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.81%E -1.69%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 12:20
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.48%E -2.32%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 12:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -16.50%E -6.60%K -11.00%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 64.27%EV -7.42%E -5.34%K -19.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-29 12:20
DraftKings🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV +4.87%E +1.55%K +2.28%G +0.111%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -9.42%E -6.93%K -26.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:20
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +3.54%E +1.14%K +1.68%G +0.060%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.42%E -6.93%K -26.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:20
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.196%E +0.065%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.42%E -6.93%K -26.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 12:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.196%E +0.065%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.42%E -6.93%K -26.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.196%E +0.065%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.42%E -6.93%K -26.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 12:21
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -3.14%E -1.08%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -9.42%E -6.93%K -26.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 12:20
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +5.21%E +1.65%K +2.42%G +0.126%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -10.09%E -7.47%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +0.196%E +0.065%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -10.09%E -7.47%K -28.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 12:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.37%EV -5.82%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.63%EV -10.09%E -7.47%K -28.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-29 12:18
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +6.88%E +2.15%K +3.13%G +0.215%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -10.75%E -8.03%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:21
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +6.88%E +2.15%K +3.13%G +0.215%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -10.75%E -8.03%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:20
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +6.88%E +2.15%K +3.13%G +0.215%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -10.75%E -8.03%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:20
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +6.88%E +2.15%K +3.13%G +0.215%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -10.75%E -8.03%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +6.88%E +2.15%K +3.13%G +0.215%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -10.75%E -8.03%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +6.88%E +2.15%K +3.13%G +0.215%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -10.75%E -8.03%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:20
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +6.88%E +2.15%K +3.13%G +0.215%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -10.75%E -8.03%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:20
NordicBet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 30.95%EV -0.138%E -0.046%K -0.069%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.05%EV -10.75%E -8.03%K -31.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 12:20
Betsson🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 30.95%EV -0.138%E -0.046%K -0.069%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.05%EV -10.75%E -8.03%K -31.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -4.81%E -1.69%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -10.75%E -8.03%K -31.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +8.55%E +2.63%K +3.80%G +0.325%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -11.42%E -8.59%K -34.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +6.88%E +2.15%K +3.13%G +0.215%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -11.42%E -8.59%K -34.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 12:20
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV +5.21%E +1.65%K +2.42%G +0.126%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -11.42%E -8.59%K -34.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 12:20
Fliff🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -1.47%E -0.500%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -11.42%E -8.59%K -34.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-29 12:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +3.54%E +1.14%K +1.68%G +0.060%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -12.09%E -9.16%K -37.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +3.54%E +1.14%K +1.68%G +0.060%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -12.09%E -9.16%K -37.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 12:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +3.54%E +1.14%K +1.68%G +0.060%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -12.09%E -9.16%K -37.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 12:20
Bally Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +3.54%E +1.14%K +1.68%G +0.060%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -12.09%E -9.16%K -37.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 12:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV +8.55%E +2.63%K +3.80%G +0.325%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -12.75%E -9.73%K -41.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 12:20
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +6.88%E +2.15%K +3.13%G +0.215%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -13.42%E -10.32%K -44.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 12:21
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +6.88%E +2.15%K +3.13%G +0.215%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -13.42%E -10.32%K -44.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 12:20
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV +3.54%E +1.14%K +1.68%G +0.060%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -13.42%E -10.32%K -44.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV +1.87%E +0.612%K +0.910%G +0.017%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -13.42%E -10.32%K -44.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 12:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-06-29 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%1.6%2026-06-29 12:20
ProphetX3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%1.7%2026-06-29 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 34.92%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.08%4.5%2026-06-29 12:20
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%4.8%2026-06-29 12:21
Novig3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%6.0%2026-06-29 12:20
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 30.86%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%8.7%2026-06-29 12:21