La escuela de los momios

Yulia Putintseva v Tatjana Maria

Inicio: 2026-06-29 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Yulia Putintseva (Local)

Predicción 33.40%2.99momio equitativo
EV +8.55%
Ventaja +2.63%
Kelly +3.80%
Crecimiento +0.325%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.73%33.42%33.73%40.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.912.853.2543.48%34.33%35.09%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tatjana Maria (Visitante)

Predicción 66.60%1.50momio equitativo
EV +5.90%
Ventaja +3.71%
Kelly +9.99%
Crecimiento +0.589%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.13%66.58%66.27%71.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.391.381.5976.92%71.73%72.73%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -23.18%E -10.08%K -17.83%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV +5.90%E +3.71%K +9.99%G +0.589%6.4%2026-06-29 12:17
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -14.83%E -5.82%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV +2.57%E +1.67%K +4.75%G +0.122%4.2%2026-06-29 12:19
1xBet2.83I 35.34%NM 34.64%EV -5.48%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.36%EV -0.098%E -0.065%K -0.196%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-29 12:09
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -0.098%E -0.065%K -0.196%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 12:10
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -11.49%E -4.34%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -1.43%E -0.966%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 12:20
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -6.48%E -2.32%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.10%E -1.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 12:11
Pinnacle2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%EV -6.82%E -2.44%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.49%EV -2.10%E -1.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 12:11
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -2.10%E -1.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 11:59
BetAnything2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -2.10%E -1.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -2.76%E -1.89%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 12:10
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -2.76%E -1.89%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 12:09
GTbets2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%EV -5.82%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%EV -3.43%E -2.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 12:10
Dabble (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.48%E -2.32%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.43%E -2.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 12:13
MyBookie.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.48%E -2.32%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.43%E -2.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 12:19
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.43%E -2.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 12:09
Marathon Bet2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -8.49%E -3.10%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -3.43%E -2.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 12:10
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.43%E -2.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:10
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.43%E -2.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:10
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -13.16%E -5.06%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -3.43%E -2.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 12:19
SportsBet2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV -6.82%E -2.44%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.96%EV -4.09%E -2.84%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 12:14
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.09%E -2.84%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:11
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.09%E -2.84%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:07
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.09%E -2.84%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:09
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.09%E -2.84%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 12:10
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.48%E -2.32%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.76%E -3.33%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 12:07
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.76%E -3.33%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 12:10
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.81%E -1.69%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.43%E -3.82%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 12:20
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.48%E -2.32%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.43%E -3.82%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 12:20
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.81%E -1.69%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 12:20
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.81%E -1.69%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 12:20
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.48%E -2.32%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 12:20
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -16.50%E -6.60%K -11.00%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 64.27%EV -7.42%E -5.34%K -19.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-29 12:20
DraftKings3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV +4.87%E +1.55%K +2.28%G +0.111%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -9.42%E -6.93%K -26.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:20
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +3.54%E +1.14%K +1.68%G +0.060%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.42%E -6.93%K -26.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:20
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.196%E +0.065%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.42%E -6.93%K -26.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 12:20
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.196%E +0.065%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.42%E -6.93%K -26.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 12:20
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.196%E +0.065%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.42%E -6.93%K -26.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 12:21
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -3.14%E -1.08%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -9.42%E -6.93%K -26.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 12:20
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +5.21%E +1.65%K +2.42%G +0.126%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -10.09%E -7.47%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:20
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +0.196%E +0.065%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -10.09%E -7.47%K -28.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 12:20
Betclic (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 32.37%EV -5.82%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.63%EV -10.09%E -7.47%K -28.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-29 12:18
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +6.88%E +2.15%K +3.13%G +0.215%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -10.75%E -8.03%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:21
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +6.88%E +2.15%K +3.13%G +0.215%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -10.75%E -8.03%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:20
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +6.88%E +2.15%K +3.13%G +0.215%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -10.75%E -8.03%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:20
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +6.88%E +2.15%K +3.13%G +0.215%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -10.75%E -8.03%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:20
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +6.88%E +2.15%K +3.13%G +0.215%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -10.75%E -8.03%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:20
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +6.88%E +2.15%K +3.13%G +0.215%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -10.75%E -8.03%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:20
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +6.88%E +2.15%K +3.13%G +0.215%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -10.75%E -8.03%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:20
NordicBet2.99I 33.44%NM 30.95%EV -0.138%E -0.046%K -0.069%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.05%EV -10.75%E -8.03%K -31.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 12:20
Betsson2.99I 33.44%NM 30.95%EV -0.138%E -0.046%K -0.069%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.05%EV -10.75%E -8.03%K -31.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 12:20
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -4.81%E -1.69%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -10.75%E -8.03%K -31.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +8.55%E +2.63%K +3.80%G +0.325%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -11.42%E -8.59%K -34.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:20
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +6.88%E +2.15%K +3.13%G +0.215%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -11.42%E -8.59%K -34.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 12:20
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV +5.21%E +1.65%K +2.42%G +0.126%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -11.42%E -8.59%K -34.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 12:20
Fliff2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -1.47%E -0.500%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -11.42%E -8.59%K -34.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-29 12:20
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +3.54%E +1.14%K +1.68%G +0.060%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -12.09%E -9.16%K -37.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 12:20
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +3.54%E +1.14%K +1.68%G +0.060%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -12.09%E -9.16%K -37.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 12:20
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +3.54%E +1.14%K +1.68%G +0.060%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -12.09%E -9.16%K -37.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 12:20
Bally Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +3.54%E +1.14%K +1.68%G +0.060%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -12.09%E -9.16%K -37.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 12:20
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV +8.55%E +2.63%K +3.80%G +0.325%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -12.75%E -9.73%K -41.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 12:20
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +6.88%E +2.15%K +3.13%G +0.215%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -13.42%E -10.32%K -44.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 12:21
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +6.88%E +2.15%K +3.13%G +0.215%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -13.42%E -10.32%K -44.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 12:20
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV +3.54%E +1.14%K +1.68%G +0.060%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -13.42%E -10.32%K -44.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV +1.87%E +0.612%K +0.910%G +0.017%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -13.42%E -10.32%K -44.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 12:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-06-29 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%1.6%2026-06-29 12:20
ProphetX3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%1.7%2026-06-29 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 34.92%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.08%4.5%2026-06-29 12:20
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%4.8%2026-06-29 12:21
Novig3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%6.0%2026-06-29 12:20
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 30.86%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%8.7%2026-06-29 12:21