Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Solana Sierra v Coco Gauff

Kickoff: 2026-07-01 14:17 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Solana Sierra (Local)

Prediction 14.73%6.79fair odd
EV +4.55%
Edge +0.641%
Kelly +0.746%
Growth +0.034%

assuming max odds 7.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.52%14.90%14.70%17.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.286.257.1018.18%15.94%16.00%14.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coco Gauff (Visit)

Prediction 85.27%1.17fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -2.44%
Kelly -19.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.83%85.10%85.30%86.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.111.121.1492.59%89.69%89.29%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Solana Sierra (Local): 14.73%; Coco Gauff (Visit): 85.27%. For Solana Sierra (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.79. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.55%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV +4.55%E +0.641%K +0.746%G +0.034%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 14:10
Pinnacle🎯7.03I 14.22%NM 13.85%EV +3.52%E +0.501%K +0.584%G +0.021%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.15%EV -3.64%E -3.22%K -28.00%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-01 14:10
1xBet🎯7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV +3.52%E +0.501%K +0.584%G +0.021%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -6.20%E -5.63%K -61.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +3.08%E +0.440%K +0.513%G +0.016%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 13:50
Fanatics🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +3.08%E +0.440%K +0.513%G +0.016%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 13:49
Betway🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.08%E +0.440%K +0.513%G +0.016%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.20%E -5.63%K -61.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 14:10
Betclic (FR)🎯6.90I 14.49%NM 13.97%EV +1.61%E +0.233%K +0.272%G +0.004%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.03%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 14:00
FanDuel🎯6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +1.61%E +0.233%K +0.272%G +0.004%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 14:00
ReBet🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +0.133%E +0.020%K +0.023%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV -0.750%E -0.111%K -0.131%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 13:50
SportsBet🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -1.34%E -0.200%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 14:10
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.28%E -0.659%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 14:00
BoyleSports🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.28%E -0.659%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 13:50
Bovada🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.28%E -0.659%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 14:09
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.28%E -0.659%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 14:10
Sky Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.28%E -0.659%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.28%E -0.659%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.28%E -0.659%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.28%E -0.659%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 14:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.28%E -0.659%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.20%E -5.63%K -61.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 14:10
betfred_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.28%E -0.659%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.20%E -5.63%K -61.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 14:10
Tipico (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.28%E -0.659%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.20%E -5.63%K -61.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 14:10
Unibet (FR)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -5.76%E -0.900%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 14:00
BetRivers🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -5.76%E -0.900%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 13:50
PlayUp🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.97%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.97%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.97%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:10
Casumo🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.97%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:10
Unibet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.97%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:10
BetUS🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.97%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:00
betPARX🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.97%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.97%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.97%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.97%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.97%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 13:50
Grosvenor🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.97%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 14:10
TABtouch🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.97%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 14:10
Fliff🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -7.97%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -7.90%E -7.32%K -98.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-01 14:10
NordicBet🎯6.22I 16.08%NM 15.14%EV -8.41%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.86%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 14:00
Betsson🎯6.22I 16.08%NM 15.14%EV -8.41%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.86%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 14:00
GTbets🎯6.21I 16.10%NM 15.40%EV -8.55%E -1.38%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.60%EV -3.64%E -3.22%K -28.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -8.70%E -1.40%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 13:50
MyBookie.ag🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -8.70%E -1.40%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 13:59
LeoVegas🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -10.17%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 14:09
LiveScore Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -10.17%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.20%E -5.63%K -61.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-01 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -10.17%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.20%E -5.63%K -61.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-01 14:10
Bally Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -10.17%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.20%E -5.63%K -61.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-01 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.65%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.64%E -3.22%K -28.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 14:10
Dabble (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.65%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 14:10
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.65%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 14:00
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.65%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 13:50
theScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.65%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 14:00
TAB🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.65%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 14:10
NetBet (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.65%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 14:03
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.65%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.05%E -6.47%K -78.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-01 14:10
PMU (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.65%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.05%E -6.47%K -78.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-01 14:10
BetAnything🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -15.33%E -2.67%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.64%E -3.22%K -28.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 14:00
Coral🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -15.33%E -2.67%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -15.33%E -2.67%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 14:10
Neds🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -17.54%E -3.13%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -2.79%E -2.44%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -17.54%E -3.13%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -2.79%E -2.44%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 14:10
Everygame🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -19.01%E -3.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.79%E -2.44%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 13:50
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -19.01%E -3.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.64%E -3.22%K -28.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 14:10
Bet Victor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -19.01%E -3.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 14:03
Caesars🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -19.01%E -3.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 13:46
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%0.4%2026-07-01 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%0.4%2026-07-01 14:10
Matchbook8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%0.7%2026-07-01 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%1.0%2026-07-01 14:10
Novig7.69I 13.00%NM 12.81%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.19%1.5%2026-07-01 13:50
ProphetX8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%1.8%2026-07-01 14:10
Smarkets8.00I 12.50%NM 12.18%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.82%2.6%2026-07-01 14:10