L’École des cotes

Solana Sierra v Coco Gauff

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-01 14:17 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Solana Sierra (Local)

Prévision 14.73%6.79cote équitable
EV +4.55%
Avantage +0.641%
Kelly +0.746%
Croissance +0.034%

avec la cote maximale 7.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.52%14.90%14.70%17.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.286.257.1018.18%15.94%16.00%14.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Coco Gauff (Visiteur)

Prévision 85.27%1.17cote équitable
EV -2.79%
Avantage -2.44%
Kelly -19.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.83%85.10%85.30%86.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.081.111.121.1492.59%89.69%89.29%87.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV +4.55%E +0.641%K +0.746%G +0.034%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 14:10
Pinnacle7.03I 14.22%NM 13.85%EV +3.52%E +0.501%K +0.584%G +0.021%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.15%EV -3.64%E -3.22%K -28.00%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-01 14:10
1xBet7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV +3.52%E +0.501%K +0.584%G +0.021%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -6.20%E -5.63%K -61.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 14:00
Winamax (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +3.08%E +0.440%K +0.513%G +0.016%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 13:50
Fanatics7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +3.08%E +0.440%K +0.513%G +0.016%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 13:49
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.08%E +0.440%K +0.513%G +0.016%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.20%E -5.63%K -61.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 14:10
Betclic (FR)6.90I 14.49%NM 13.97%EV +1.61%E +0.233%K +0.272%G +0.004%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.03%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 14:00
FanDuel6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +1.61%E +0.233%K +0.272%G +0.004%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 14:00
ReBet6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +0.133%E +0.020%K +0.023%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 14:00
BetOnline.ag6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV -0.750%E -0.111%K -0.131%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 13:50
SportsBet6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -1.34%E -0.200%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 14:10
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.28%E -0.659%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 14:00
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.28%E -0.659%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 13:50
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.28%E -0.659%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 14:09
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.28%E -0.659%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 14:10
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.28%E -0.659%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 14:00
Winamax (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.28%E -0.659%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 13:50
888sport (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.28%E -0.659%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 14:10
Mr Green (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.28%E -0.659%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 14:10
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.28%E -0.659%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.20%E -5.63%K -61.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 14:10
betfred_uk6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.28%E -0.659%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.20%E -5.63%K -61.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 14:10
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.28%E -0.659%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.20%E -5.63%K -61.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 14:10
Unibet (FR)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -5.76%E -0.900%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 14:00
BetRivers6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -5.76%E -0.900%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 13:50
PlayUp6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.97%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:10
Unibet (NL)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.97%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:10
Unibet (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.97%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:10
Casumo6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.97%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:10
Unibet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.97%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:10
BetUS6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.97%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:00
betPARX6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.97%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:10
Svenska Spel6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.97%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:10
ATG (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.97%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:10
Hard Rock Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.97%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:10
Betr (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.97%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 13:50
Grosvenor6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.97%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 14:10
TABtouch6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.97%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 14:10
Fliff6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -7.97%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -7.90%E -7.32%K -98.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-01 14:10
NordicBet6.22I 16.08%NM 15.14%EV -8.41%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.86%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 14:00
Betsson6.22I 16.08%NM 15.14%EV -8.41%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.86%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 14:00
GTbets6.21I 16.10%NM 15.40%EV -8.55%E -1.38%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.60%EV -3.64%E -3.22%K -28.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 14:00
Marathon Bet6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -8.70%E -1.40%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 13:50
MyBookie.ag6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -8.70%E -1.40%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 13:59
LeoVegas6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -10.17%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 14:09
LiveScore Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -10.17%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.20%E -5.63%K -61.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-01 14:10
Virgin Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -10.17%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.20%E -5.63%K -61.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-01 14:10
Bally Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -10.17%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.20%E -5.63%K -61.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-01 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.65%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.64%E -3.22%K -28.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 14:10
Dabble (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.65%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 14:10
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.65%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 14:00
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.65%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 13:50
theScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.65%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 14:00
TAB6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.65%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 14:10
NetBet (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.65%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 14:03
LeoVegas (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.65%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.05%E -6.47%K -78.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-01 14:10
PMU (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.65%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.05%E -6.47%K -78.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-01 14:10
BetAnything5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -15.33%E -2.67%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.64%E -3.22%K -28.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 14:00
Coral5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -15.33%E -2.67%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -15.33%E -2.67%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 14:10
Neds5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -17.54%E -3.13%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -2.79%E -2.44%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -17.54%E -3.13%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -2.79%E -2.44%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 14:10
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -19.01%E -3.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.79%E -2.44%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 13:50
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -19.01%E -3.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.64%E -3.22%K -28.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 14:10
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -19.01%E -3.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 14:03
Caesars5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -19.01%E -3.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.49%E -4.01%K -37.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 13:46
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%0.4%2026-07-01 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%0.4%2026-07-01 14:10
Matchbook8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%0.7%2026-07-01 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%1.0%2026-07-01 14:10
Novig7.69I 13.00%NM 12.81%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.19%1.5%2026-07-01 13:50
ProphetX8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%1.8%2026-07-01 14:10
Smarkets8.00I 12.50%NM 12.18%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.82%2.6%2026-07-01 14:10