La scuola delle quote

Nadia Podoroska v Marta Kostyuk

Inizio: 2026-06-30 17:33 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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48 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Nadia Podoroska (Casa)

Previsione 5.56%18.00quota equa
EV +88.88%
Vantaggio +2.61%
Kelly +2.69%
Crescita +2.39%

ipotizzando la quota massima 34.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
2.88%5.66%5.61%8.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
11.0018.5117.0034.009.09%5.40%5.88%2.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Marta Kostyuk (Trasferta)

Previsione 94.44%1.06quota equa
EV -2.72%
Vantaggio -2.64%
Kelly -90.73%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.03

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
91.59%94.34%94.39%97.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.001.011.011.03100.00%98.68%99.01%97.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Dabble (AU)34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +88.88%E +2.61%K +2.69%G +2.39%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-30 17:29
theScore Bet26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +44.44%E +1.71%K +1.78%G +0.790%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 17:29
DraftKings24.00I 4.17%NM 4.08%EV +33.33%E +1.39%K +1.45%G +0.483%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.92%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-30 17:29
Neds23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +27.77%E +1.21%K +1.26%G +0.351%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-30 17:24
Ladbrokes (AU)23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +27.77%E +1.21%K +1.26%G +0.351%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-30 17:24
William Hill23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +27.77%E +1.21%K +1.26%G +0.351%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-30 17:25
Pinnacle22.99I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +27.72%E +1.21%K +1.26%G +0.349%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-30 17:30
Winamax (DE)22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +22.22%E +1.01%K +1.06%G +0.235%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-30 17:29
Paddy Power21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +16.66%E +0.793%K +0.833%G +0.139%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-30 17:28
Unibet (UK)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +16.66%E +0.793%K +0.833%G +0.139%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 17:29
888sport21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +16.66%E +0.793%K +0.833%G +0.139%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.56%E -5.56%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 17:29
Bovada21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +16.66%E +0.793%K +0.833%G +0.139%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.56%E -5.56%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 17:30
Mr Green (SE)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +16.66%E +0.793%K +0.833%G +0.139%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.56%E -5.56%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 17:29
888sport (SE)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +16.66%E +0.793%K +0.833%G +0.139%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.56%E -5.56%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 17:29
Winamax (FR)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +11.10%E +0.555%K +0.584%G +0.065%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 17:29
Coral19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +5.55%E +0.292%K +0.308%G +0.017%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-30 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +5.55%E +0.292%K +0.308%G +0.017%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-30 17:29
SportsBet19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +5.55%E +0.292%K +0.308%G +0.017%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 17:29
ReBet19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +5.55%E +0.292%K +0.308%G +0.017%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 17:29
1xBet17.40I 5.75%NM 5.49%EV -3.34%E -0.192%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.51%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 17:25
BoyleSports17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -2.72%E -2.64%K -90.73%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-30 17:29
FanDuel17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:30
Unibet (SE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:29
Unibet (NL)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:29
Sky Bet17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:28
BetRivers17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:23
Casumo17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:25
LeoVegas17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:25
Unibet17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:29
Svenska Spel17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:29
ATG (SE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:29
Hard Rock Bet17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:29
betPARX17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:29
TABtouch17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 17:29
BetMGM17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 17:29
Betway17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 17:29
Grosvenor17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 17:29
BetOnline.ag17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 17:29
Fanatics17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 17:28
Marathon Bet16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -11.12%E -0.695%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 17:28
PointsBet (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -16.67%E -1.11%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 17:26
Everygame15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -16.67%E -1.11%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 17:27
NordicBet14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -19.45%E -1.34%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 17:29
Betsson14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -19.45%E -1.34%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 17:29
Caesars13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -27.78%E -2.14%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 17:26
Betclic (FR)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -33.34%E -2.78%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 17:22
Bet Victor11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -38.89%E -3.54%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 17:23
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%0.9%2026-06-30 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%0.9%2026-06-30 17:30
Matchbook26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%0.9%2026-06-30 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%0.9%2026-06-30 17:30
ProphetX23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%2.4%2026-06-30 17:30
Smarkets22.99I 4.35%NM 4.25%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%2.4%2026-06-30 17:30
Novig22.22I 4.50%NM 4.35%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.65%3.5%2026-06-30 17:30