L’École des cotes

Nadia Podoroska v Marta Kostyuk

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 17:33 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Nadia Podoroska (Local)

Prévision 5.56%18.00cote équitable
EV +88.88%
Avantage +2.61%
Kelly +2.69%
Croissance +2.39%

avec la cote maximale 34.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
2.88%5.66%5.61%8.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
11.0018.5117.0034.009.09%5.40%5.88%2.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Marta Kostyuk (Visiteur)

Prévision 94.44%1.06cote équitable
EV -2.72%
Avantage -2.64%
Kelly -90.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
91.59%94.34%94.39%97.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.001.011.011.03100.00%98.68%99.01%97.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Dabble (AU)34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +88.88%E +2.61%K +2.69%G +2.39%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-30 17:29
theScore Bet26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +44.44%E +1.71%K +1.78%G +0.790%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 17:29
DraftKings24.00I 4.17%NM 4.08%EV +33.33%E +1.39%K +1.45%G +0.483%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.92%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-30 17:29
Neds23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +27.77%E +1.21%K +1.26%G +0.351%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-30 17:24
Ladbrokes (AU)23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +27.77%E +1.21%K +1.26%G +0.351%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-30 17:24
William Hill23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +27.77%E +1.21%K +1.26%G +0.351%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-30 17:25
Pinnacle22.99I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +27.72%E +1.21%K +1.26%G +0.349%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-30 17:30
Winamax (DE)22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +22.22%E +1.01%K +1.06%G +0.235%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-30 17:29
Paddy Power21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +16.66%E +0.793%K +0.833%G +0.139%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-30 17:28
Unibet (UK)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +16.66%E +0.793%K +0.833%G +0.139%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 17:29
888sport21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +16.66%E +0.793%K +0.833%G +0.139%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.56%E -5.56%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 17:29
Bovada21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +16.66%E +0.793%K +0.833%G +0.139%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.56%E -5.56%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 17:30
Mr Green (SE)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +16.66%E +0.793%K +0.833%G +0.139%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.56%E -5.56%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 17:29
888sport (SE)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +16.66%E +0.793%K +0.833%G +0.139%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.56%E -5.56%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 17:29
Winamax (FR)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +11.10%E +0.555%K +0.584%G +0.065%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 17:29
Coral19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +5.55%E +0.292%K +0.308%G +0.017%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-30 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +5.55%E +0.292%K +0.308%G +0.017%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-30 17:29
SportsBet19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +5.55%E +0.292%K +0.308%G +0.017%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 17:29
ReBet19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +5.55%E +0.292%K +0.308%G +0.017%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 17:29
1xBet17.40I 5.75%NM 5.49%EV -3.34%E -0.192%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.51%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 17:25
BoyleSports17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -2.72%E -2.64%K -90.73%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-30 17:29
FanDuel17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:30
Unibet (SE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:29
Unibet (NL)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:29
Sky Bet17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:28
BetRivers17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:23
Casumo17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:25
LeoVegas17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:25
Unibet17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:29
Svenska Spel17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:29
ATG (SE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:29
Hard Rock Bet17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:29
betPARX17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:29
TABtouch17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 17:29
BetMGM17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 17:29
Betway17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 17:29
Grosvenor17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 17:29
BetOnline.ag17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 17:29
Fanatics17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 17:28
Marathon Bet16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -11.12%E -0.695%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 17:28
PointsBet (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -16.67%E -1.11%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 17:26
Everygame15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -16.67%E -1.11%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 17:27
NordicBet14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -19.45%E -1.34%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 17:29
Betsson14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -19.45%E -1.34%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 17:29
Caesars13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -27.78%E -2.14%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 17:26
Betclic (FR)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -33.34%E -2.78%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 17:22
Bet Victor11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -38.89%E -3.54%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 17:23
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%0.9%2026-06-30 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%0.9%2026-06-30 17:30
Matchbook26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%0.9%2026-06-30 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%0.9%2026-06-30 17:30
ProphetX23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%2.4%2026-06-30 17:30
Smarkets22.99I 4.35%NM 4.25%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%2.4%2026-06-30 17:30
Novig22.22I 4.50%NM 4.35%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.65%3.5%2026-06-30 17:30