La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Nadia Podoroska v Marta Kostyuk
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nadia Podoroska (Local)
Predicción 5.56%18.00momio equitativo
EV +88.88%
Ventaja +2.61%
Kelly +2.69%
Crecimiento +2.39%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 34.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
2.88%5.66%5.61%8.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
11.0018.5117.0034.009.09%5.40%5.88%2.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Marta Kostyuk (Visitante)
Predicción 94.44%1.06momio equitativo
EV -2.72%
Ventaja -2.64%
Kelly -90.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.03
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
91.59%94.34%94.39%97.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.001.011.011.03100.00%98.68%99.01%97.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU) | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +88.88%E +2.61%K +2.69%G +2.39% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| theScore Bet | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +44.44%E +1.71%K +1.78%G +0.790% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| DraftKings | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.08%EV +33.33%E +1.39%K +1.45%G +0.483% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.92%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| Neds | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +27.77%E +1.21%K +1.26%G +0.351% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-30 17:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +27.77%E +1.21%K +1.26%G +0.351% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-30 17:24 |
| William Hill | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +27.77%E +1.21%K +1.26%G +0.351% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-30 17:25 |
| Pinnacle | 22.99I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +27.72%E +1.21%K +1.26%G +0.349% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-30 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +22.22%E +1.01%K +1.06%G +0.235% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| Paddy Power | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +16.66%E +0.793%K +0.833%G +0.139% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-30 17:28 |
| Unibet (UK) | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +16.66%E +0.793%K +0.833%G +0.139% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| 888sport | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +16.66%E +0.793%K +0.833%G +0.139% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.56%E -5.56%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| Bovada | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +16.66%E +0.793%K +0.833%G +0.139% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.56%E -5.56%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +16.66%E +0.793%K +0.833%G +0.139% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.56%E -5.56%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +16.66%E +0.793%K +0.833%G +0.139% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.56%E -5.56%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +11.10%E +0.555%K +0.584%G +0.065% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| Coral | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +5.55%E +0.292%K +0.308%G +0.017% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +5.55%E +0.292%K +0.308%G +0.017% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| SportsBet | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +5.55%E +0.292%K +0.308%G +0.017% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| ReBet | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +5.55%E +0.292%K +0.308%G +0.017% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| 1xBet | 17.40I 5.75%NM 5.49%EV -3.34%E -0.192%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.51%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 17:25 |
| BoyleSports | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -2.72%E -2.64%K -90.73%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| FanDuel | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| Sky Bet | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 17:28 |
| BetRivers | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 17:23 |
| Casumo | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 17:25 |
| LeoVegas | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 17:25 |
| Unibet | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| betPARX | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.67%E -3.59%K -183.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| TABtouch | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| BetMGM | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| Betway | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| Grosvenor | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| Fanatics | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -5.56%E -0.327%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 17:28 |
| Marathon Bet | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -11.12%E -0.695%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 17:28 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -16.67%E -1.11%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 17:26 |
| Everygame | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -16.67%E -1.11%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 17:27 |
| NordicBet | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -19.45%E -1.34%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| Betsson | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -19.45%E -1.34%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| Caesars | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -27.78%E -2.14%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 17:26 |
| Betclic (FR) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -33.34%E -2.78%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 17:22 |
| Bet Victor | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -38.89%E -3.54%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.61%E -4.57%K -461.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 17:23 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 17:30 |
| Matchbook | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 17:30 |
| ProphetX | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75% | 2.4% | 2026-06-30 17:30 |
| Smarkets | 22.99I 4.35%NM 4.25% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75% | 2.4% | 2026-06-30 17:30 |
| Novig | 22.22I 4.50%NM 4.35% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.65% | 3.5% | 2026-06-30 17:30 |