Language:English
Marie Bouzkova v Elise Mertens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Marie Bouzkova (Local)
Prediction 48.13%2.08fair odd
EV +9.25%
Edge +4.07%
Kelly +7.28%
Growth +0.673%
assuming max odds 2.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.09%48.30%48.00%53.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.961.952.2757.14%51.09%51.28%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elise Mertens (Visit)
Prediction 51.87%1.93fair odd
EV +3.75%
Edge +1.87%
Kelly +3.75%
Growth +0.140%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.67%51.70%52.00%57.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.821.802.0060.61%54.99%55.56%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marie Bouzkova (Local): 48.13%; Elise Mertens (Visit): 51.87%. For Marie Bouzkova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.25%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV +9.25%E +4.07%K +7.28%G +0.673% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -14.41%E -8.73%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 11:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV +2.03%E +0.956%K +1.81%G +0.037% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -6.11%E -3.37%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-06 11:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV +1.06%E +0.507%K +0.968%G +0.010% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-06 11:42 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +1.06%E +0.507%K +0.968%G +0.010% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -8.18%E -4.62%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-06 11:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +1.06%E +0.507%K +0.968%G +0.010% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 11:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +1.06%E +0.507%K +0.968%G +0.010% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -10.26%E -5.93%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 11:47 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV +0.583%E +0.279%K +0.535%G +0.003% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -7.66%E -4.31%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-06 11:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV +0.583%E +0.279%K +0.535%G +0.003% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -9.74%E -5.60%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 11:53 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +0.102%E +0.049%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-06 11:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.34%E -0.654%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-06 11:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.34%E -0.654%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-06 11:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.34%E -0.654%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.18%E -4.62%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.34%E -0.654%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.18%E -4.62%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.34%E -0.654%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.18%E -4.62%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 11:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.34%E -0.654%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 11:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.34%E -0.654%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 11:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.34%E -0.654%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 11:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -1.34%E -0.654%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -10.78%E -6.27%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 11:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -1.34%E -0.654%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -10.78%E -6.27%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -1.34%E -0.654%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -11.30%E -6.61%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -1.34%E -0.654%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -14.41%E -8.73%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-06 11:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -2.79%E -1.38%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-06 11:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -3.27%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -6.11%E -3.37%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-06 11:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.75%E -1.87%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 11:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.75%E -1.87%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.75%E -1.87%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.18%E -4.62%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-06 11:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.75%E -1.87%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.75%E -1.87%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.26%E -5.93%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-06 11:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.67%E -2.89%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.03%E -2.18%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-06 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -5.67%E -2.89%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -9.74%E -5.60%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 11:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -8.70%E -4.94%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.64%E -3.42%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.03%E -2.18%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.64%E -3.42%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.03%E -2.18%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.64%E -3.42%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.03%E -2.18%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -1.96%E -1.04%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -1.96%E -1.04%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -5.59%E -3.07%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.921%E -0.482%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.921%E -0.482%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 11:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.921%E -0.482%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -2.48%E -1.32%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 11:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -8.56%E -4.51%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -2.48%E -1.32%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.77%EV -9.52%E -5.07%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.23%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -10.00%E -5.35%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -10.49%E -5.64%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.82%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.97%E -5.93%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +0.117%E +0.060%K +0.126%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.97%E -5.93%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +0.117%E +0.060%K +0.126%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.97%E -5.93%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +0.117%E +0.060%K +0.126%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.97%E -5.93%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.03%E -2.18%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.97%E -5.93%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.03%E -2.18%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -11.93%E -6.52%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +3.75%E +1.87%K +3.75%G +0.140% | 4.6% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -11.93%E -6.52%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -0.402%E -0.209%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -11.93%E -6.52%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -0.402%E -0.209%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.93%E -6.52%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -0.921%E -0.482%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.93%E -6.52%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -0.921%E -0.482%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -11.93%E -6.52%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -1.96%E -1.04%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -11.93%E -6.52%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -13.37%E -7.43%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +1.15%E +0.592%K +1.21%G +0.014% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -13.37%E -7.43%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -0.921%E -0.482%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%EV -14.34%E -8.05%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%EV -5.59%E -3.07%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -15.78%E -9.02%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +3.75%E +1.87%K +3.75%G +0.140% | 7.1% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 0.3% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-07-06 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 2.0% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47% | 2.1% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 2.9% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36% | 4.0% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |