La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Marie Bouzkova v Elise Mertens
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Marie Bouzkova (Local)
Predicción 48.13%2.08momio equitativo
EV +9.25%
Ventaja +4.07%
Kelly +7.28%
Crecimiento +0.673%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.09%48.30%48.00%53.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.961.952.2757.14%51.09%51.28%44.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Elise Mertens (Visitante)
Predicción 51.87%1.93momio equitativo
EV +3.75%
Ventaja +1.87%
Kelly +3.75%
Crecimiento +0.140%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.67%51.70%52.00%57.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.821.802.0060.61%54.99%55.56%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV +9.25%E +4.07%K +7.28%G +0.673% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -14.41%E -8.73%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 11:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV +2.03%E +0.956%K +1.81%G +0.037% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -6.11%E -3.37%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-06 11:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV +1.06%E +0.507%K +0.968%G +0.010% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-06 11:42 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +1.06%E +0.507%K +0.968%G +0.010% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -8.18%E -4.62%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-06 11:48 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +1.06%E +0.507%K +0.968%G +0.010% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 11:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +1.06%E +0.507%K +0.968%G +0.010% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -10.26%E -5.93%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 11:47 |
| ReBet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV +0.583%E +0.279%K +0.535%G +0.003% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -7.66%E -4.31%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-06 11:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV +0.583%E +0.279%K +0.535%G +0.003% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -9.74%E -5.60%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 11:53 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +0.102%E +0.049%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-06 11:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.34%E -0.654%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-06 11:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.34%E -0.654%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-06 11:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.34%E -0.654%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.18%E -4.62%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.34%E -0.654%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.18%E -4.62%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.34%E -0.654%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.18%E -4.62%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 11:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.34%E -0.654%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 11:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.34%E -0.654%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 11:50 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.34%E -0.654%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 11:44 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -1.34%E -0.654%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -10.78%E -6.27%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 11:54 |
| TAB | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -1.34%E -0.654%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -10.78%E -6.27%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -1.34%E -0.654%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -11.30%E -6.61%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -1.34%E -0.654%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -14.41%E -8.73%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-06 11:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -2.79%E -1.38%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-06 11:39 |
| GTbets | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -3.27%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -6.11%E -3.37%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-06 11:40 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.75%E -1.87%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 11:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.75%E -1.87%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.75%E -1.87%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.18%E -4.62%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-06 11:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.75%E -1.87%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.75%E -1.87%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.26%E -5.93%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-06 11:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.67%E -2.89%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.03%E -2.18%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-06 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -5.67%E -2.89%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -9.74%E -5.60%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 11:30 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -8.70%E -4.94%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.15%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.64%E -3.42%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.03%E -2.18%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Unibet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.64%E -3.42%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.03%E -2.18%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Casumo | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.64%E -3.42%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.03%E -2.18%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -1.96%E -1.04%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -1.96%E -1.04%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -5.59%E -3.07%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.921%E -0.482%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.921%E -0.482%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 11:54 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.921%E -0.482%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| betPARX | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -2.48%E -1.32%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 11:54 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -8.56%E -4.51%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -2.48%E -1.32%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.77%EV -9.52%E -5.07%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.23%EV -7.15%E -3.99%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -10.00%E -5.35%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -10.49%E -5.64%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.82%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.97%E -5.93%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +0.117%E +0.060%K +0.126%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.97%E -5.93%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +0.117%E +0.060%K +0.126%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.97%E -5.93%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +0.117%E +0.060%K +0.126%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.97%E -5.93%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.03%E -2.18%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.97%E -5.93%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.03%E -2.18%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -11.93%E -6.52%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +3.75%E +1.87%K +3.75%G +0.140% | 4.6% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -11.93%E -6.52%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -0.402%E -0.209%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -11.93%E -6.52%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -0.402%E -0.209%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.93%E -6.52%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -0.921%E -0.482%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.93%E -6.52%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -0.921%E -0.482%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -11.93%E -6.52%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -1.96%E -1.04%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Fliff | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -11.93%E -6.52%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -13.37%E -7.43%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +1.15%E +0.592%K +1.21%G +0.014% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -13.37%E -7.43%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -0.921%E -0.482%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%EV -14.34%E -8.05%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%EV -5.59%E -3.07%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -15.78%E -9.02%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +3.75%E +1.87%K +3.75%G +0.140% | 7.1% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 0.3% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-07-06 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| ProphetX | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 2.0% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Novig | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47% | 2.1% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 2.9% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36% | 4.0% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |